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ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. QualifyingInternational
02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Matsuda K - Ilkel C
Matsuda K go head-to-head with Ilkel C on August 2, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Matsuda K 2-0-3, Ilkel C 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Matsuda K — 71%
Pure model vs market (1 · Matsuda K): model 64% · market 71%Δ −7 ppmodel estimates below the market
71%1
1 · Matsuda K ✓ Pick70.7%
market71%
2 · Ilkel C29.3%
market29%
Model estimate: win Matsuda K 70.7%, win Ilkel C 29.3%. Model favourite — Matsuda K.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Matsuda K (odds1.33)Score 2:1confidence 68%
•Matsuda K: forma PVVVP (3-2)
•Ilkel Dzh: forma P (0-1)
•liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.35 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Matsuda K: probability 68% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Matsuda K - Ilkel C August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Matsuda K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.15
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 ✓ Pick70.8%
229.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P11.40↓ 1.30
Pobeditel P22.75↑ 3.15
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying
ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifyinggrass02.08.2026 16:00 UTCNot started
02.08.2026 16:00 UTCNot started
Matsuda K
LWWLL
Ilkel C
LLLWL
-:-
Odds
P11.31
72.5% BetBoom
P23.45
27.5% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
grassCoveragegrass
0H2H0
Match center
Start02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market1 70.8% @ 1.30 / 2 29.2% @ 3.15
Coveragegrass
Form4 matches
Match center
Matsuda K - Ilkel C
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Matsuda K71.4%70.7%market and model agree
Ilkel C28.6%29.3%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P270.7% / 29.3%
probabilities
Rating1,800 / 1,292
Matsuda K / Ilkel C
RD113 / 276
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,574-2,026 / 739-1,845
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.15
Fonbet · no value · model 29.3%
11.30
Fonbet · no value · model 70.7%
Total
Over 20.51.62
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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