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ATP Challenger. Istanbul 2. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Istanbul 2. Qualification
03.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Purtseladze S - Sahtali T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Istanbul 2. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Istanbul 2. Qualification hard 03.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
P
Purtseladze S
W L L W L
Sahtali T
Sahtali T
W L W L W
2:0 6:3 6:1
1 2 GP
Purtseladze S 6 6 2
Sahtali T 3 1 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.62 58.1% BetBoom
P2 2.25 41.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Purtseladze S meet Sahtali T on August 3, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Istanbul 2. Qualification.

Recent form (W-D-L): Purtseladze S 2-0-3, Sahtali T 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Purtseladze S — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Purtseladze S): model 42% · market 58% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Purtseladze S56.8%
2 · Sahtali T43.2%

Model estimate: win Purtseladze S 56.8%, win Sahtali T 43.2%. Model favourite — Purtseladze S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sahtali T (odds1.87) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Purtseladze S
  • • 🇬🇪 — Sakhtali T
  • • (Alzh) (tennis)
  • • Purtseladze S
  • • 🇬🇪: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Sakhtali T
  • • (Alzh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Sakhtali T
  • • (Alzh): probability 51% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Purtseladze S - Sahtali T August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Purtseladze S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Purtseladze S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Purtseladze S 56.8% / Sahtali T 43.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +2.2%
1 58.4%
2 41.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.88 ↓ 1.57
Winner 2 1.88 ↑ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Purtseladze S
1-9WLLLLLLLLL
scored 0.4conceded 1.8
Sahtali T

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 89.7% @ 1.03 / 2 10.3% @ 9.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Purtseladze S - Sahtali T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Purtseladze S Sahtali T Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 56.8% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.374 / LogLoss 0.566
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.8% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.484 / LogLoss 0.677
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Purtseladze S 58.4% 56.8% market and model agree
Sahtali T 41.6% 43.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.8% / 43.2% probabilities
Rating 1,490 / 1,816 Purtseladze S / Sahtali T
RD 239 / 141 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,013-1,968 / 1,533-2,099 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 43.2%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 56.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.73 57.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.95 51.3%
1.18 84.8%
1.11 90.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.75 36.4%
1.75 57.1%
4.05 24.7%
5.30 18.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 16.5 5.30 18.9%
Over 17.5 4.05 24.7%
Over 18.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 19.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 21.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 16.5 1.11 90.1%
Under 17.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 18.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 19.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 21.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 23.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 25.5 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.62 61.7%
2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 9.00 11.1% 2.17 46.1%
Match center
Purtseladze S
W L L W L
2026-08-02 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying
Purtseladze S Albot R 0:2 Purtseladze S
2026-07-26 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Purtseladze S Nakagawa S 2:0 Purtseladze S
2026-07-06 2026 Liege, Belgium, Qualifying
Purtseladze S Huang Tsung-Hao 2:1 Purtseladze S
2026-07-05 2026 Liege, Belgium, Qualifying
Purtseladze S Villoslada E 1:2 Purtseladze S
2026-05-31 2026 Prostejov, Czech Republic, Qualifying
Purtseladze S Purtseladze S 0:2 Karol M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Sahtali T
W L W L W
2026-08-02 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying
Azoidis D 1:2 Sahtali T Sahtali T
2026-07-27 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Sahtali T 1:2 Turker M N Sahtali T
2026-07-26 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Sahtali T 2:0 Saritas G Sahtali T
2024-11-25 2024 Tunisia F64, Singles Qualifying
Sahtali T 0:2 Carteputreda, David Cristian Sahtali T
2024-11-25 2024 Tunisia F64, Singles Qualifying
Sahtali T 2:0 Ricci, Mattia Sahtali T
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPurtseladze S - Sahtali T

Purtseladze S
0 matches total
Sahtali T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history