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ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying
ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying International
02.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Zhukov M - Yilmaz K

Zhukov M face Yilmaz K on August 2, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zhukov M 1-0-4, Yilmaz K 0-1-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Zhukov M — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zhukov M): model 52% · market 55% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zhukov M55.5%
2 · Yilmaz K44.5%

Model estimate: win Zhukov M 55.5%, win Yilmaz K 44.5%. Model favourite — Zhukov M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zhukov M (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 65%
  • • Model backs Zhukov M: probability 65% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zhukov M - Yilmaz K August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zhukov M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.40 ↑ 1.67
Pobeditel P2 2.70 ↓ 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying
ATP Challenger. Stambul 2. Qualifying grass 02.08.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
02.08.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
Zhukov M
Zhukov M
L L L W L
Yilmaz K
Yilmaz K
L L L L L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.67 56.9% BetBoom
P2 2.20 43.2% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 02.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.67 / 2 44.7% @ 2.07
Coverage grass
Match center

Zhukov M - Yilmaz K

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zhukov M 55.9% 55.5% market and model agree
Yilmaz K 44.1% 44.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.5% / 44.5% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Zhukov M / Yilmaz K
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%
1 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 55.5%
Total
Over 19.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.80 55.6% — 1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8% —
1.90 52.6% — — —
1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2% — 1.81 55.3%
1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.77 56.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 20.5 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 19.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0%
2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Zhukov M
L L L W L
2026-01-18 2026 Phan Thiet, Vietnam, Qualifying
Zhukov M Jorda Sanchis D 2:1 Zhukov M
2026-01-04 2026 Nonthaburi, Thailand, Qualifying
Zhukov M Zhukov M 0:2 Imai S
2025-11-19 2025 Yokohama, Japan
Zhukov M Zhukov M 0:2 Sakamoto R
2025-11-17 2025 Yokohama, Japan
Zhukov M Zhukov M 2:0 Tabata R
2025-11-11 2025 Kobe, Japan
Zhukov M Zhukov M 0:2 Ferreira Silva F
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Yilmaz K
L D L L L
2026-07-26 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Bittoun Kouzmine C 2:1 Yilmaz K Yilmaz K
2026-05-19 2026 Istanbul, Turkiye
Yilmaz K 1:1 Matusevich A Yilmaz K
2025-07-06 2025 Wimbledon, Boys
McDonald N 2:1 Yilmaz K Yilmaz K
2025-06-02 2025 French Open, Boys
Kennedy J 2:0 Yilmaz K Yilmaz K
2024-12-18 2024 Turkiye F35, Singles
Dolzhenkov D 2:0 Yilmaz K Yilmaz K
0 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZhukov M - Yilmaz K

Zhukov M
0 matches total
Yilmaz K
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history