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Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Turker M N - Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard hard 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
T
Turker M N
U
Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
0:2
Odds
P1 2.55 36.9% BetBoom
P2 1.49 63.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” 61%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ): model 36% ยท market 64% ฮ” โˆ’28 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Turker M N39.2%
market36%
2 ยท Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ✓ Pick60.8%
market64%

Model estimate: win Turker M N 39.2%, win Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 60.8%. Model favourite โ€” Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Turker M N (odds2.46) Score 2:1 confidence 64% โœ— outcome missed
  • • Tyurker M
  • • N
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Ursu V
  • • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (tennis)
  • • Tyurker M
  • • N
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Ursu V
  • • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Tyurker M
  • • N
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท: probability 64% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.46)
  • • edge over the line +24 pp โ€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Turker M N - Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45
  • Glicko: Turker M N 39.2% / Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.50 โ†‘ 2.55
Winner 2 1.47 โ†“ 1.45

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Turker M N

no data

Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
6-4LLWWWWWWLL
scored 1.4conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Turker M N - Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 60.8% fact: away hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.308 / LogLoss 0.498
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Turker M N 36.4% 39.2%
Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 63.6% 60.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.2% / 60.8% probabilities
Rating 1,824 / 1,318 Turker M N / Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
RD 154 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,516-2,133 / 801-1,835 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 60.8%
1 2.55 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 39.2%
Total
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
— 2.30 43.5% —
— 2.10 47.6% —
1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9%
— 1.57 63.7% —
— 1.55 64.5% —
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 1.85 54.1% —
— 2.25 44.4% —
1.91 52.4% — 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
Over 20.5 — 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 23.5 — 2.35 42.6% —
Over 24.5 — 2.40 41.7% —
Under 19.5 — 2.40 41.7% —
Under 20.5 — 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 22.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 23.5 — 1.55 64.5% —
Under 24.5 — 1.50 66.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.46 40.7%
1.46 68.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Turker M N
W W L W W
27.07 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Turker M N 2:1 Sakhtali T. (Alzh)Sakhtali T. (Alzh)
26.07 05:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Turker M N 2:0 Bayrak K. K. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
04.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Turker M N 1:2 Bittun-Kuzmin K. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
03.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Turker M N 2:0 Anavatan M. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทAnavatan M. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
02.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Turker M N 2:0 Seleznev B. (World)
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
L W
14.06 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Dublin (Ireland) - Qualifying, grass
Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 0:2 Hsu Y. H. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ
21.05 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kutaisi 2 (Georgia), hard
Ursu V. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 2:1 Binda A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage