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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification International
28.07.2026 18:30 UTC

Hara Friend J D - Church C

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hara Friend J D — 83%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hara Friend J D): model 52% · market 86% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hara Friend J D ✓ Pick83.1%
market86%
2 · Church C16.9%
market14%

Model estimate: win Hara Friend J D 83.1%, win Church C 16.9%. Model favourite — Hara Friend J D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Church C July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hara Friend J D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 6.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 ✓ Pick 86.3%
2 13.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.09 ↓ 1.06
Pobeditel P2 5.80 ↑ 6.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification grass 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
Hara Friend J D
Hara Friend J D
Church C
Church C
-:-
Odds
P1 1.07 87.1% BetBoom
P2 7.20 12.9% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Coverage grass
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Church C

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hara Friend J D 86.5% 83.1% market and model agree
Church C 13.5% 16.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 83.1% / 16.9% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Hara Friend J D / Church C
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 Fonbet · no value · model 16.9%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 83.1%
Total
Over 17.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%
— — — 2.16 46.3%
1.76 56.8% 1.66 60.2% — 1.81 55.3%
— — 2.15 46.5% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 18.5 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8% 1.87 53.5%
Over 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 20.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Under 17.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 18.5 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Under 20.5 — — 1.45 69.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%
6.80 14.7% 6.90 14.5% 6.70 14.9% 7.20 13.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHara Friend J D - Church C

Hara Friend J D
0 matches total
Church C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history