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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification International

Matsuoka H - Trotter J

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Trotter J50%

1 · Matsuoka H49.8%
2 · Trotter J50.2%

Model estimate: win Matsuoka H 49.8%, win Trotter J 50.2%. Model favourite — Trotter J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Trotter J (odds1.75) Score 1:2 confidence 50%
  • Matsuoka Kh: forma P (0-1)
  • Trotter Dzh: forma P (0-1)
  • liniya na pik P2 1.73→1.75 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Trotter Dzh: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Matsuoka H - Trotter J July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Trotter J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 44.0%
2 56.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.05 ↓ 2.02
Pobeditel P2 1.73 ↓ 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification grass 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
Matsuoka H
Matsuoka H
Trotter J
Trotter J
-:-
Odds
P1 2.02 48.1% BetBoom
P2 1.87 51.9% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Coverage grass
Form 2 matches
Match center

Matsuoka H - Trotter J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Matsuoka H 49.7% 49.8%
Trotter J 50.3% 50.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.8% / 50.2% probabilities
Rating 1,342 / 1,418 Matsuoka H / Trotter J
RD 292 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 758-1,925 / 835-2,002 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
1 2.10 Fonbet · weak value +4.5% · model 49.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 23.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5%
1.66 60.2% 1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6%
2.08 48.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 25.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 23.5 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8%
Under 24.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 25.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.87 53.5%
Match center
Matsuoka H
L
07.07 16:30 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Matsuoka H 0:2 Meloni P
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Trotter J
L
07.07 17:35 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Trotter J 1:2 Vandekastele K
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMatsuoka H - Trotter J

Matsuoka H
0 matches total
Trotter J
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history