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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification International
28.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Milavsky D — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Milavsky D): model 51% · market 71% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Milavsky D57.3%
2 · Vandecasteele Q42.7%

Model estimate: win Milavsky D 57.3%, win Vandecasteele Q 42.7%. Model favourite — Milavsky D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Milavsky D (odds1.59) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • Milavski D: forma PPVV (2)
  • • Vandekastele K: forma PV (1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Milavski D: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Milavsky D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 71.4%
2 28.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.58 ↑ 1.60
Pobeditel P2 2.25 ↓ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Milavsky D · sets 1:1 · games 6-2 0-6 2-1 · game 00:00 · aces 1:4 · DF 2:3

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

71% 29%
Milavsky D (1) Vandecasteele Q (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification grass 28.07.2026 17:05 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 17:05 UTC Not started
Milavsky D
Milavsky D
Vandecasteele Q
Vandecasteele Q
-:-
Odds
P1 1.60 58.0% BetBoom
P2 2.21 42.0% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ATP Challenger. Nyuport
  Milavski D 1 2
  Vandekastele K 0 1
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Coverage grass
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Milavsky D 58.0% 57.3% market and model agree
Vandecasteele Q 42.0% 42.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.3% / 42.7% probabilities
Rating 1,468 / 1,522 Milavsky D / Vandecasteele Q
RD 202 / 256 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,064-1,872 / 1,011-2,034 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 42.7%
1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 57.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.75 57.1%
3.00 33.3%
2.55 39.2%
2.40 41.7%
2.02 49.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.88 53.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.63 61.4%
2.65 37.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.32 75.8%
1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 18.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 19.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 23.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 24.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 25.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 17.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 19.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 22.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 24.5 1.27 78.7%
Under 25.5 1.43 69.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.28 78.1% 1.59 62.9%
3.20 31.3% 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Milavsky D
L L W W
16.07 21:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Granbi
Milavsky D 0:2 Draksl LDraksl L
10.07 20:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Milavsky D 0:2 Galarno AGalarno A
08.07 21:16 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Milavsky D 2:0 Utida K
07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Milavsky D 2:1 Vandekastele K
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Vandecasteele Q
L W
07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Vandecasteele Q 1:2 Milavski DMilavski D
07.07 17:35 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Vandecasteele Q 2:1 Trotter Dzh
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMilavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

Milavsky D
1 matches total
Vandecasteele Q
Milavsky D: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Vandecasteele Q: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Milavski D 2:1 (07.07 22:37 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 07.07 22:37 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
Milavski D
2:1
Vandekastele K