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ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver
28.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Mochizuki S - Broom C

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mochizuki S — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mochizuki S): model 55% · market 66% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mochizuki S ✓ Pick63.5%
market66%
2 · Broom C36.5%
market34%

Model estimate: win Mochizuki S 63.5%, win Broom C 36.5%. Model favourite — Mochizuki S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mochizuki S (odds1.40) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • 🇯🇵 — Brum Ch
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Brum Ch
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Mochizuki Sh
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 50% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mochizuki S - Broom C July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mochizuki S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.40 → 1.40
Pobeditel P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mochizuki S
8-2LWWLWWWWWW
scored 2.1conceded 0.9
Broom C
5-5WLLLWLWWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver hard 28.07.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
M
Mochizuki S
Broom C
Broom C
-:-
Odds
P1 1.46 64.9% BetBoom
P2 2.70 35.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mochizuki S - Broom C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mochizuki S 64.5% 63.5% market and model agree
Broom C 35.5% 36.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities
Rating 1,676 / 1,605 Mochizuki S / Broom C
RD 182 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,312-2,039 / 1,141-2,068 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 63.5%
Total
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.50 66.7% —
1.63 61.4% —
1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8%
2.30 43.5% —
— 1.78 56.2%
2.40 41.7% —
2.15 46.5% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.62 61.7% —
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.02 49.5% —
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 23.5 1.57 63.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5%
2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0%
Match center
Mochizuki S
L W W W L
25.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Mochizuki S 0:2 Draksl L. 🇨🇦Draksl L. 🇨🇦
24.07 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Mochizuki S 2:0 Monday J. 🇬🇧Monday J. 🇬🇧
23.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Mochizuki S 2:1 Chan D. 🇨🇦
21.07 21:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Mochizuki S 2:1 Sekulich F. 🇦🇺Sekulich F. 🇦🇺
05.07 14:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mochizuki S 0:3 Sinner Ya. 🇮🇹Sinner Ya. 🇮🇹
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Broom C
L W L W L
25.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Broom C 0:2 Samuel T. 🇬🇧Samuel T. 🇬🇧
24.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Broom C 2:0 Noguchi R. 🇯🇵Noguchi R. 🇯🇵
14.07 16:35 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Broom C 1:2 Noguchi R. 🇯🇵Noguchi R. 🇯🇵
14.06 15:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Dublin (Ireland) - Qualifying, grass
Broom C 2:0 Leeman D. 🇮🇪
01.06 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Birmingham (Velikobritaniya) - Qualifying, grass
Broom C 0:2 Chidekh C. 🇫🇷
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMochizuki S - Broom C

Mochizuki S
0 matches total
Broom C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history