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ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver
28.07.2026 21:30 UTC

Pinnington Jones J - Samuel T

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Samuel T — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Samuel T): model 61% · market 67% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pinnington Jones J37.0%
market33%
2 · Samuel T ✓ Pick63.0%
market67%

Model estimate: win Pinnington Jones J 37.0%, win Samuel T 63.0%. Model favourite — Samuel T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Samuel T (odds1.56) Score 1:2 confidence 60%
  • • Pinnington-Dzhons Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 — Samuel T
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Pinnington-Dzhons Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Samuel T
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.75→1.73 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Samuel T
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 60% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pinnington Jones J - Samuel T July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samuel T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 33.0%
2 ✓ Pick 67.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.03 ↑ 2.50
Pobeditel P2 1.75 ↓ 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pinnington Jones J
3-7WLLLWLLLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.5
Samuel T
6-4WLLLWWWLWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver hard 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 21:30 UTC Not started
Pinnington Jones J
Pinnington Jones J
Samuel T
Samuel T
-:-
Odds
P1 2.53 37.1% BetBoom
P2 1.49 62.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Pinnington Jones J - Samuel T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pinnington Jones J 36.8% 37.0%
Samuel T 63.3% 63.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.0% / 63.0% probabilities
Rating 1,324 / 1,818 Pinnington Jones J / Samuel T
RD 267 / 132 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 789-1,859 / 1,555-2,081 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 63.0%
1 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 37.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 2.55 39.2% —
— 2.30 43.5% —
1.81 55.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.79 55.9%
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 1.45 69.0% —
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 1.45 69.0% —
— 1.55 64.5% —
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
— 2.55 39.2% —
1.91 52.4% — 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.58 63.3% —
Over 20.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.79 55.9%
Over 22.5 — 2.20 45.5% —
Over 23.5 — 2.30 43.5% —
Under 19.5 — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 — 1.95 51.3% —
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.96 51.0%
Under 22.5 — 1.60 62.5% —
Under 23.5 — 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.53 39.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.46 40.7%
1.47 68.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Pinnington Jones J
L L
29.06 16:25 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Pinnington Jones J 0:2 Natal L
24.06 13:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Istburn (Velikobritaniya), grass
Pinnington Jones J 0:2 Dreyper Dzh. 🇬🇧Dreyper Dzh. 🇬🇧
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Samuel T
W W W W L
25.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Samuel T 2:0 Brum Ch. 🇬🇧Brum Ch. 🇬🇧
24.07 17:20 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Samuel T 2:0 Hsu Y. H. 🇹🇼
22.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Samuel T 2:0 Vatanuki Yu. 🇯🇵Vatanuki Yu. 🇯🇵
21.07 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Samuel T 2:0 Arseneault M. 🇨🇦Arseneault M. 🇨🇦
30.06 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Samuel T 2:3 Menshik Ya. 🇨🇿Menshik Ya. 🇨🇿
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage