Who is the favourite in Kirkin E vs Nedic A?

By the PropickAI model, Nedic A is favoured — about 75% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kirkin E vs Nedic A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Nedic A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Nedic A win probability ~75% confidence High best odds 1.35

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Nedic A. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger Hamburg, Germany Men Singles International

11.08.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

Kirkin E - Nedic A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger Hamburg, Germany Men Singles

ATP Challenger Hamburg, Germany Men Singles clay 11.08.2026 11:30 UTC Finished

11.08.2026 11:30 UTC Finished

Kirkin E

W W L W W

Nedic A

L L W L L

1:2 6:3 4:6 4:6

1 2 3 GP

Kirkin E 6 4 4 1

Nedic A 3 6 6 2

1 2 3

Coverage: clay

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Kirkin E	Nedic A
Win %	59.7%	69.4%
Hard %	59%	60%
Clay %	60.6%	69.7%
Grass %	0%	0%
Deciding set %	61.6%	63.5%
Tie-breaks %	58%	52.6%
Titles (total)	8	8
Last 10	WWLWWLLWLL	LLWLLLWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

Odds

P1 4.50 21.1% BetBoom

P2 1.20 79.0% BetBoom

Kirkin E face Nedic A on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Hamburg, Germany Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kirkin E 4-0-1, Nedic A 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 25% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Nedic A — 75%

1 · Kirkin E25.0%

market 21%

2 · Nedic A ✓ Pick75.0%

market 79%

Model estimate: win Kirkin E 25.0%, win Nedic A 75.0%. Model favourite — Nedic A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kirkin E - Nedic A August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nedic A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nedic A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.95 / 2 1.35
Glicko: Kirkin E 25.0% / Nedic A 75.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 3 books · best price +14.4%

1 21.2%

2 ✓ Pick 78.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 4.20 ↓ 3.95

Winner 2 1.17 ↑ 1.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Kirkin E

22%

4.50

Nedic A

78%

1.35

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kirkin E

5-5LWLLLWWLWW

scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Nedic A

4-6WLWWLLLWLL

scored 0.9conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Qualification round 1

Barton, Hynek2

Handel, Tim0

Dedura-Palomero, Mariano1

Lechno-Wasiutynski, Fryderyk2

Kumstat, Jan2

Wazny, Alan0

Zeuch, Tom2

Gutierrez, Oscar Jose0

Pieri, Samuele1

Zeballos, Federico2

Arias, Boris0

Kirkin, Ergi2

Wallin, Olle2

Papa, Christopher1

Guttau, Niklas2

Barsukov, Nikolai1

Yevseyev, Denis2

Larwig, Noel1

Antoni, Richard0

Purtseladze, Saba2

Nijboer, Ryan1

Opitz, Jannik2

Poljak, David0

Krutykh, Oleksii2

Qualification Final

Barton, Hynek1

Lechno-Wasiutynski, Fryderyk2

Kumstat, Jan2

Zeuch, Tom1

Zeballos, Federico0

Kirkin, Ergi2

Wallin, Olle2

Guttau, Niklas0

Yevseyev, Denis2

Purtseladze, Saba0

Opitz, Jannik0

Krutykh, Oleksii2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center

Start 11.08.2026 11:30 UTC

Market 1 31.4% @ 2.95 / 2 68.6% @ 1.35

Coverage clay

Form 4 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Nedic A 75%

💹 Market Nedic A 79%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Kirkin E - Nedic A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Kirkin E Nedic A Result

Set 1 6 3 6:3

Set 2 4 6 4:6

Set 3 4 6 4:6

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 75.0% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.125 / LogLoss 0.288

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.0% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.442 / LogLoss 0.635

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kirkin E 21.2% 25.0%

Nedic A 78.9% 75.0% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 25.0% / 75.0% probabilities

Rating 1,612 / 1,361 Kirkin E / Nedic A

RD 223 / 272 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,166-2,057 / 817-1,906 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 75.0%

1 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 25.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 18.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Over 19.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.88 53.2%
	2.95 33.9%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.40 41.7%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.67 59.9%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.95 33.9%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.38 72.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.06 94.3%
	2.75 36.4%
	1.40 71.4%
	6.60 15.2%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 18.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 19.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 20.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 21.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 24.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 26.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 27.5	1.25 80.0%
Over 28.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 29.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 31.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5	2.45 40.8%
Under 19.5	1.77 56.5%
Under 20.5	1.93 51.8%
Under 21.5	2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5	1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.40 71.4%
Under 2.5	2.75 36.4%

Match center

Kirkin E

W W L W W

2026-08-10 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Kirkin E Zeballos F 0:2 Kirkin E

2026-08-09 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Kirkin E Arias B 0:2 Kirkin E

2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland

Kirkin E Kirkin E 1:2 Ivashka I

2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying

Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:1 Paldanius O

2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying

Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:0 Szymkowiak K

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.6 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Nedic A

L L W L L

2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic

Barton H 2:0 Nedic A Nedic A

2026-07-22 2026 Tampere, Finland

Nedic A 1:2 Gentzsch T Nedic A

2026-07-21 2026 Tampere, Finland

Nagal S 0:2 Nedic A Nedic A

2026-07-15 2026 Cordenons, Italy

Nedic A 0:2 Dalla Valle E Nedic A

2026-07-07 2026 Trieste, Italy

Neumayer L 2:0 Nedic A Nedic A

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.6 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKirkin E - Nedic A

Kirkin E

0 matches total

Nedic A

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kirkin E - Nedic A

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

AI match prediction Kirkin E - Nedic A August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Kirkin E - Nedic A

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Kirkin E - Nedic A

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

AI match prediction Kirkin E - Nedic A August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Kirkin E - Nedic A

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions