Free accessSign in to unlock the full predictionCreate a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Plovdiv 2. QualifyingInternational
02.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Castagnola L - Naydenov Y
Castagnola L take on Naydenov Y on August 2, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Plovdiv 2. Qualifying, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Castagnola L 0-0-5, Naydenov Y 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Castagnola L — 85%
Pure model vs market (1 · Castagnola L): model 62% · market 88%Δ −26 ppmodel estimates below the market
85%1
1 · Castagnola L ✓ Pick85.3%
market88%
2 · Naydenov Y14.7%
market12%
Model estimate: win Castagnola L 85.3%, win Naydenov Y 14.7%. Model favourite — Castagnola L.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Castagnola L - Naydenov Y August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Castagnola L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.40
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 ✓ Pick87.6%
212.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P11.05→ 1.05
Pobeditel P27.20↑ 7.40
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisATP Challenger. Plovdiv 2. Qualifying
ATP Challenger. Plovdiv 2. Qualifying02.08.2026 12:00 UTCNot started
02.08.2026 12:00 UTCNot started
Castagnola L
LLLLL
Naydenov Y
LLWLL
-:-
Odds
P11.05
88.1% BetBoom
P27.80
11.9% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Match center
Start02.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market1 87.6% @ 1.05 / 2 12.4% @ 7.40
Form4 matches
Match center
Castagnola L - Naydenov Y
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Castagnola L87.9%85.3%market and model agree
Naydenov Y12.1%14.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P285.3% / 14.7%
probabilities
Rating1,656 / 1,286
Kastanola L / Naydenov Y
RD203 / 275
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,250-2,063 / 737-1,835
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
27.40
Fonbet · no value · model 14.7%
11.05
Fonbet · no value · model 85.3%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
