Who is the favourite in Ambrogi L E vs Mares V?

By the PropickAI model, Ambrogi L E is favoured — about 53% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ambrogi L E vs Mares V?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ambrogi L E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Mares V win probability ~53% best odds 7.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mares V. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger Prague, Czech Republic Men Singles International

16.08.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger Prague, Czech Republic Men Singles

ATP Challenger Prague, Czech Republic Men Singles grass 16.08.2026 12:30 UTC Finished

16.08.2026 12:30 UTC Finished

Ambrogi L E

L W L L L

Mares V

L W L W L

2:0 6:2 6:0

1 2 GP

Ambrogi L E 6 6 2

Mares V 2 0 0

1 2

Coverage: grass

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Ambrogi L E	Mares V
Win %	75%	44.1%
Hard %	0%	50%
Clay %	75%	42.2%
Grass %	0%	0%
Deciding set %	50%	45.5%
Tie-breaks %	75%	50%
Titles (total)	0	0
Last 10	LWWW	LLWLLLWLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

0 H2H 0

Odds

P1 1.05 87.0% BetBoom

P2 7.00 13.0% BetBoom

Ambrogi L E go head-to-head with Mares V on August 16, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Prague, Czech Republic Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ambrogi L E 1-0-4, Mares V 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mares V — 53%

1 · Ambrogi L E46.9%

2 · Mares V53.1%

Model estimate: win Ambrogi L E 46.9%, win Mares V 53.1%. Model favourite — Mares V.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ambrogi L E - Mares V August 16, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ambrogi L E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ambrogi L E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.00
Glicko: Ambrogi L E 46.9% / Mares V 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%

1 87.0%

2 13.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.07 ↓ 1.05

Winner 2 6.40 ↑ 7.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ambrogi L E

4-6WWLLWLLLWL

sets for 0.9sets against 1.4

Mares V

5-5LWLWWLWLWL

sets for 1.2sets against 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Start 16.08.2026 12:30 UTC

Market 1 87.0% @ 1.05 / 2 13.0% @ 7.00

Coverage grass

Form 3 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Mares V 53%

💹 Market Ambrogi L E 87%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Ambrogi L E Mares V Result

Set 1 6 2 6:2

Set 2 6 0 6:0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.564 / LogLoss 0.757

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.507 / LogLoss 0.701

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ambrogi L E 87.0% 46.9% market favourite

Mares V 13.0% 53.1% Glicko contrarian

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 46.9% / 53.1% probabilities

Rating 1,299 / 1,500 Ambrogi L E / Mares V

RD 208 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 883-1,716 / 800-2,200 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.00 Fonbet · weak value +271.8% · model 53.1%

1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 46.9%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.05 95.2%
	7.00 14.3%

Match center

Ambrogi L E

L W L L L

2026-08-13 2026 Todi, Italy

Ambrogi L E Barrena A 2:0 Ambrogi L E

2026-08-11 2026 Todi, Italy

Ambrogi L E Ambrogi L E 2:1 Ajdukovic D

2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying

Ambrogi L E Krutykh O 2:0 Ambrogi L E

2026-07-27 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic

Ambrogi L E Ambrogi L E 0:2 Kicker N

2026-07-09 2026 Bogota, Colombia

Ambrogi L E Casanova H 2:0 Ambrogi L E

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.4 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Mares V

L W L W L

2024-10-23 2024 Slovakia F5, Singles

Kopp S 2:0 Mares V Mares V

2024-10-22 2024 Slovakia F5, Singles Qualifying

Homola P 1:2 Mares V Mares V

2024-09-17 2024 Czech Republic F6, Singles Qualifying

Novak, Jakub (2003) 2:1 Mares V Mares V

2024-09-16 2024 Czech Republic F6, Singles Qualifying

Mares V 2:1 Kucera J Mares V

2024-08-27 2024 Austria F1, Singles Qualifying

Wallin O 2:0 Mares V Mares V

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Ambrogi L E - Mares V

Ambrogi L E

0 matches total

Mares V

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

AI match prediction Ambrogi L E - Mares V August 16, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

Match markets

Outcome (1X2)

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

AI match prediction Ambrogi L E - Mares V August 16, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ambrogi L E - Mares V

Match markets

Outcome (1X2)

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions