ATP Challenger. Todi13.08.2026 14:30 UTCNot started
13.08.2026 14:30 UTCNot started
Barrena A
Rank #261Elo 211
42Struggling Form
WLWLWLLL
Ambrogi L E
Rank #313Elo 171
62Average Form
LWLLWLWW
-:-
Preview
Extended stats (scorego)
Barrena A
Ambrogi L E
Win %
58.8%
75%
Hard %
33.3%
0%
Clay %
58.9%
75%
Grass %
0%
0%
Deciding set %
50%
50%
Tie-breaks %
52.9%
75%
Titles (total)
8
0
Last 10
WLWLWLLWLW
LWWW
Source: scorego-app.com
About the athletes
-Country-
#261Rating#313
23Age22
1.75mHeight (cm)1.88m
68kgWeight (kg)77kg
RightHandRight
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Barrena A
Ambrogi L E
Aces per match
2.18
2.66
Double faults per match
2.68
1.71
Breaks per match
3.93
1.86
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Alex Barrena
Rank:261Elo: 211
WLWLWLLL
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Rank:313Elo: 171
LWLLWLWW
Elo favourite:Barrena A(edge +40 Elo)
Hard
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Clay
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
46.9% 15 / 32 Matches
60.8% 31 / 51 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
51.9% 28 / 54 Matches
59.5% 47 / 79 Matches
Grass
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
H2H wins
1 (100.0%)
0 (0.0%)
Sets
2 (100.0%)
0 (0.0%)
Wins this year
41.7% 15 / 36 Matches
61.5% 32 / 52 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
47.5% 28 / 59 Matches
60.0% 48 / 80 Matches
Current rank
261
313
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Prize money (career)
$153,427 USD
$53,595 USD
Rating
261
313
Age
23
22
Height
1.75m
1.88m
Weight
68kg
77kg
Playing hand
Right-handed
Right-handed
Win percentage (match / set)
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match Wins
42 %
62 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
44 %
61 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)
0 %
N/A
Wins in Straight Sets
25 %
44 %
Wins From Behind
19 %
17 %
Won At Least 1 Set
67 %
73 %
Set 1 Win
36 %
63 %
Set 2 Win
56 %
53 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Head-to-Head Record
Date
Tournament
Results
Jun 24 2025
Lima Chall. Men (Clay)
Alex Barrena2 – 0Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Average Games in a Set
8.92
9.08
9
Over 6.5
97 %
94 %
96 %
Over 7.5
79 %
80 %
80 %
Over 8.5
59 %
59 %
59 %
Over 9.5
41 %
35 %
38 %
Over 10.5
9 %
18 %
14 %
Over 11.5
9 %
18 %
14 %
Aces
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Aces Per Match
2.18
2.66
4.84
Most Aces in a match
56 %
77 %
N/A
1+
88 %
83 %
96 %
2+
56 %
51 %
71 %
3+
35 %
37 %
59 %
4+
18 %
31 %
48 %
5+
9 %
26 %
39 %
Breaks
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Breaks Per Match
3.93
1.86
5.79
Over 0.5
97 %
51 %
100 %
Over 1.5
94 %
49 %
100 %
Over 2.5
53 %
43 %
99 %
Over 3.5
53 %
37 %
75 %
Over 4.5
12 %
3 %
56 %
Over 5.5
6 %
0 %
49 %
Tie-breaks
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.29
0.22
0.25
Over 0.5
29 %
22 %
25 %
Over 1.5
0 %
0 %
0 %
Under 0.5
71 %
78 %
25 %
Under 1.5
100 %
100 %
0 %
Double faults
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
2.68
1.71
4.39
Over 0.5 (1+)
88 %
63 %
96 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
68 %
49 %
81 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
53 %
23 %
76 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
38 %
17 %
58 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
15 %
11 %
46 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
6 %
9 %
35 %
Net points
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
10.37
7
17.37
Over 4.5 (5+)
67 %
80 %
74 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
60 %
60 %
60 %
Over 6.5 (7+)
53 %
50 %
52 %
Over 7.5 (8+)
40 %
40 %
40 %
Over 8.5 (9+)
33 %
30 %
32 %
Over 9.5 (10+)
33 %
30 %
32 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P11.49
62.9% BetBoom
P22.53
37.1% BetBoom
Barrena A meet Ambrogi L E on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Todi, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Barrena A 3-0-2, Ambrogi L E 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Barrena A — 62%
62%1
1 · Barrena A ✓ Pick61.9%
market64%
2 · Ambrogi L E38.1%
market36%
Model estimate: win Barrena A 61.9%, win Ambrogi L E 38.1%. Model favourite — Barrena A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Barrena A (odds1.50)Score 2:1confidence 61%
•Barrena A: forma PPPV (1-3)
•Ambrodzhi L-E: forma PV (1)
•Model backs Barrena A: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barrena A - Ambrogi L E August 13, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Barrena A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.45
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.5%
5 books · best price +2.7%
1 ✓ Pick63.6%
236.4%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.50↓ 1.45
Winner P22.45↑ 2.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Barrena A
64%
1.50
Ambrogi L E
36%
2.70
Total
Over 21.5
52%
1.78
Under 21.5
48%
1.97
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Barrena A
5-5WLWLLWLWLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Ambrogi L E
5-5WWWLLWLLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
🏆
Playoff draw
Tournament bracket 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Qualification round 1
Kravchenko, Georgii2
Gandolfi, Giammarco0
D`Agostino, Stefano2
Tabacco, Giorgio0
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz2
Rapagnetta, Daniele1
Delaney, Jesse0
Weis, Alexander2
Vanshelboim, Eric2
Buldorini, Peter1
Mecarelli, Michele2
Vasa, Eero0
Aboian, Valerio0
Homberg, Maximilian2
Noce, Gabriele Maria1
Carboni, Lorenzo2
Caniato, Carlo Alberto2
Cecconi, Federico0
Crivellaro, Gabriele2
Arnaboldi, Federico1
Ferrari, Gianmarco2
Betti, Edoardo0
Ribero, Franco0
Mashtakov, Nikita2
Qualification Final
Kravchenko, Georgii2
D`Agostino, Stefano0
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz0
Weis, Alexander2
Vanshelboim, Eric0
Mecarelli, Michele0
Homberg, Maximilian0
Carboni, Lorenzo2
Caniato, Carlo Alberto2
Crivellaro, Gabriele0
Ferrari, Gianmarco1
Mashtakov, Nikita2
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Match center
Start13.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Market1 62.0% @ 1.50 / 2 38.0% @ 2.45
Form5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelBarrena A 62%
💹 MarketBarrena A 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Barrena A63.3%55.7%market and model agree
Ambrogi L E36.8%44.3%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko61.9% · +Elo prior (weight0.54).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.45
Fonbet · no value · model 38.1%
11.50
Fonbet · no value · model 61.9%
Total
Over 2.52.30
Fonbet · line only
Over 20.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
