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Caniato C A — Crivellaro G

Tennis 10.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Favourite Caniato C A best odds 1.15

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles
ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
10.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles

International

Caniato C A - Crivellaro G

International Tennis
Caniato C A
Caniato C A
2 : 0
6:1 6:2
Finished
Crivellaro G
Crivellaro G

Caniato C A meet Crivellaro G on August 10, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Caniato C A 1-0-4, Crivellaro G 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Crivellaro G (odds3.35) Score 1:2 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • Kaniato K-A: forma pp (0-2)
  • Krivellaro G: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • Model backs Krivellaro G: probability 57% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.35)
  • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Caniato C A - Crivellaro G August 10, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Caniato C A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books
1 81.1%
2 18.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Caniato C A
81%
1.15
Crivellaro G
19%
10.00
Total
Over 19.5
52%
1.83
Under 19.5
48%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Caniato C A
3-7WLLWLLLLLW
sets for 1.0sets against 1.4
Crivellaro G
3-7LWLLLLLWLW
sets for 0.7sets against 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Caniato C ACrivellaro G
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 2-0 Caniato C A
  • Set 1 Break 5-1 Caniato C A
  • Set 1 6-1 Caniato C A
  • Set 2 Break 2-1 Caniato C A
  • Set 2 Break 4-1 Caniato C A
  • Set 2 6-2 Caniato C A
  • Match ended 2-0 Caniato C A

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Todi, Italy

1/16-finals (R32)
Travaglia, Stefano0
Kicker, Nicolas0
Mena, Facundo0
Faurel, Thomas2
Roca Batalla, Oriol2
Mashtakov, Nikita0
Caniato, Carlo Alberto1
Passaro, Francesco2
Cecchinato, Marco2
Hardt, Nick0
Forti, Francesco2
Mecarelli, Michele1
Romano, Filippo2
Giunta, Massimo0
Dalla Valle, Enrico0
Torres, Juan Bautista0
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas2
Piraino, Gabriele0
Mrva, Maxim2
Basile, Pierluigi1
Dellien, Murkel0
Galan, Daniel Elahi2
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz0
Gomez, Federico Agustin2
Barrena, Alex2
Kravchenko, Georgii0
Ambrogi, Luciano Emanuel2
Ajdukovic, Duje1
Michalski, Daniel2
Carboni, Lorenzo0
Weis, Alexander0
Neumayer, Lukas2
1/8-finals (R16)
Kicker, Nicolas2
Faurel, Thomas0
Roca Batalla, Oriol0
Passaro, Francesco2
Cecchinato, Marco2
Forti, Francesco0
Romano, Filippo1
Torres, Juan Bautista2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas1
Mrva, Maxim2
Galan, Daniel Elahi0
Gomez, Federico Agustin2
Barrena, Alex2
Ambrogi, Luciano Emanuel0
Michalski, Daniel1
Neumayer, Lukas2
Quarterfinals
Kicker, Nicolas2
Passaro, Francesco0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Torres, Juan Bautista0
Mrva, Maxim0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Barrena, Alex0
Neumayer, Lukas0
Semifinals
Kicker, Nicolas2
Cecchinato, Marco1
Mrva, Maxim2
Barrena, Alex0
Final
Kicker, Nicolas0
Mrva, Maxim0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 10.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Caniato C A - Crivellaro G

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 77.3% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.258
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 53.3% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.437 / LogLoss 0.630
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 14.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.50 66.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.76 56.8% 1.69 59.2%
2.10 47.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.90 34.5%
10.00 10.0%
9.00 11.1%
6.30 15.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 6.30 15.9%
Over 15.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 16.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 17.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 18.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 14.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 15.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 16.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 17.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 18.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 19.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Caniato C A
W L L L L
2026-08-09 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Caniato C A Caniato C A 2:0 Cecconi F
2026-08-04 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Caniato C A Piraino G 2:1 Caniato C A
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Caniato C A Caniato C A 0:2 Pellegrino A
2026-07-14 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Caniato C A Mrva M 2:1 Caniato C A
2026-07-07 2026 Trieste, Italy
Caniato C A Caniato C A 0:2 Dellien H
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Crivellaro G
W L W L D
2026-08-09 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Crivellaro G 2:1 Arnaboldi F Crivellaro G
2026-07-13 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Prihodko O 2:0 Crivellaro G Crivellaro G
2026-07-12 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Crivellaro G 2:0 Bassem Sobhy M Crivellaro G
2026-07-06 2026 Trieste, Italy Qualifying
Kravchenko G 2:0 Crivellaro G Crivellaro G
2026-07-05 2026 Trieste, Italy Qualifying
Crivellaro G 1:1 Rubio Fierros A F Crivellaro G
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Caniato C A vs Crivellaro G start?

August 10, 2026.