AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Faurel T. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Kicker N | Faurel T | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 1.21 | 2.18 |
| Double faults per match | 1.7 | 1.77 |
| Breaks per match | 2.32 | 3.25 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches | 67.9% 19 / 28 Matches |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches | 38.9% 7 / 18 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 50.9% 29 / 57 Matches | 43.8% 14 / 32 Matches |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Sets | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Wins this year | 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches | 51.4% 19 / 37 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 50.0% 30 / 60 Matches | 54.1% 33 / 61 Matches |
| Current rank | 365 | 323 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $1,156,150 USD | $3,065 USD |
| Rating | 365 | 323 |
| Age | 33 | 20 |
| Height | 1.78m | 1.78m |
| Weight | 75kg | 72kg |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 45 % | 51 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 45 % | 53 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | N/A | 0 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 39 % | 43 % |
| Wins From Behind | 5 % | 10 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 61 % | 73 % |
| Set 1 Win | 52 % | 54 % |
| Set 2 Win | 48 % | 59 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9 | 9.43 | 9.22 |
| Over 6.5 | 82 % | 94 % | 88 % |
| Over 7.5 | 82 % | 81 % | 82 % |
| Over 8.5 | 55 % | 72 % | 64 % |
| Over 9.5 | 33 % | 39 % | 36 % |
| Over 10.5 | 21 % | 22 % | 22 % |
| Over 11.5 | 21 % | 22 % | 22 % |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 1.21 | 2.18 | 3.39 |
| Most Aces in a match | 15 % | 27 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 70 % | 91 % | 99 % |
| 2+ | 30 % | 50 % | 81 % |
| 3+ | 15 % | 32 % | 69 % |
| 4+ | 6 % | 18 % | 59 % |
| 5+ | 0 % | 9 % | 51 % |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 2.32 | 3.25 | 5.57 |
| Over 0.5 | 52 % | 95 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 52 % | 95 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 3 % | 95 % | 99 % |
| Over 3.5 | 3 % | 27 % | 69 % |
| Over 4.5 | 3 % | 0 % | 69 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 0 % | 56 % |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.2 |
| Over 0.5 | 15 % | 22 % | 19 % |
| Over 1.5 | 0 % | 3 % | 1 % |
| Under 0.5 | 85 % | 78 % | 19 % |
| Under 1.5 | 100 % | 97 % | 1 % |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 1.7 | 1.77 | 3.47 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 79 % | 86 % | 96 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 45 % | 50 % | 90 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 24 % | 23 % | 77 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 9 % | 14 % | 60 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 6 % | 5 % | 45 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 6 % | 0 % | 29 % |
| Nicolas Kicker | Thomas Faurel | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 4.53 | 8.96 | 13.49 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 50 % | 69 % | 60 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 38 % | 69 % | 54 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 31 % | 62 % | 47 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 25 % | 54 % | 40 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 19 % | 46 % | 33 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 6 % | 38 % | 22 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Kicker N face Faurel T on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kicker N 2-1-2, Faurel T 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Faurel T — 60%
Model estimate: win Kicker N 40.4%, win Faurel T 59.6%. Model favourite — Faurel T.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kicker N.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko40.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.76 56.8% | 2.02 49.5% | — | |
| 1.71 58.5% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.97 50.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | — | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 7.20 13.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 20.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 19.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 20.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Kicker N
Faurel T
The Kicker N - Faurel T breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Kicker N is favoured — about 60% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kicker N. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 13, 2026.