AI verdict

AI pick Faurel T win probability ~60% confidence Medium best odds 2.35

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Faurel T. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles
ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles International

Kicker N - Faurel T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles
ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles 13.08.2026 14:06 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 14:06 UTC Finished
Kicker N
Kicker N
Rank #365 Elo 138
45Struggling Form
W L W L W L L L
Faurel T
Faurel T
Rank #323 Elo 162
51Average Form
L W L L W W L W
2:0 6:4 6:4
1 2 GP
Kicker N 6 6 2
Faurel T 4 4 0
1 2
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#365 Rating #323
33 Age 20
1.78m Height (cm) 1.78m
75kg Weight (kg) 72kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Kicker N Faurel T
Aces per match 1.21 2.18
Double faults per match 1.7 1.77
Breaks per match 2.32 3.25

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Nicolas Kicker
Rank:365 Elo: 138
W L W L W L L L
Thomas Faurel
Rank:323 Elo: 162
L W L L W W L W
Elo favourite:Faurel T (edge +24 Elo)

Hard

Nicolas KickerThomas Faurel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches 67.9% 19 / 28 Matches

Clay

Nicolas KickerThomas Faurel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches 38.9% 7 / 18 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.9% 29 / 57 Matches 43.8% 14 / 32 Matches

Grass

Nicolas KickerThomas Faurel
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches 51.4% 19 / 37 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.0% 30 / 60 Matches 54.1% 33 / 61 Matches
Current rank 365 323

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel
Prize money (career) $1,156,150 USD $3,065 USD
Rating 365 323
Age 33 20
Height 1.78m 1.78m
Weight 75kg 72kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel
Match Wins 45 % 51 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 45 % 53 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) N/A 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 39 % 43 %
Wins From Behind 5 % 10 %
Won At Least 1 Set 61 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 52 % 54 %
Set 2 Win 48 % 59 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Average Games in a Set 9 9.43 9.22
Over 6.5 82 % 94 % 88 %
Over 7.5 82 % 81 % 82 %
Over 8.5 55 % 72 % 64 %
Over 9.5 33 % 39 % 36 %
Over 10.5 21 % 22 % 22 %
Over 11.5 21 % 22 % 22 %

Aces

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Aces Per Match 1.21 2.18 3.39
Most Aces in a match 15 % 27 % N/A
1+ 70 % 91 % 99 %
2+ 30 % 50 % 81 %
3+ 15 % 32 % 69 %
4+ 6 % 18 % 59 %
5+ 0 % 9 % 51 %

Breaks

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.32 3.25 5.57
Over 0.5 52 % 95 % 100 %
Over 1.5 52 % 95 % 100 %
Over 2.5 3 % 95 % 99 %
Over 3.5 3 % 27 % 69 %
Over 4.5 3 % 0 % 69 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 56 %

Tie-breaks

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.15 0.25 0.2
Over 0.5 15 % 22 % 19 %
Over 1.5 0 % 3 % 1 %
Under 0.5 85 % 78 % 19 %
Under 1.5 100 % 97 % 1 %

Double faults

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.7 1.77 3.47
Over 0.5 (1+) 79 % 86 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 45 % 50 % 90 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 24 % 23 % 77 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 9 % 14 % 60 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 6 % 5 % 45 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 6 % 0 % 29 %

Net points

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 4.53 8.96 13.49
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % 69 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 38 % 69 % 54 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 31 % 62 % 47 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 25 % 54 % 40 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 19 % 46 % 33 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 6 % 38 % 22 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.43 39.1% BetBoom
P2 1.56 60.9% BetBoom

Kicker N face Faurel T on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Todi, Italy Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kicker N 2-1-2, Faurel T 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Faurel T60%

1 · Kicker N40.4%
market 40%
2 · Faurel T ✓ Pick59.6%
market 60%

Model estimate: win Kicker N 40.4%, win Faurel T 59.6%. Model favourite — Faurel T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Faurel T (odds1.37) Score 1:2 confidence 66% ✗ outcome missed
  • Kiker N: forma P (0-1)
  • liniya na pik P2 1.50→1.38 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Forel T: probability 66% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kicker N - Faurel T August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kicker N.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kicker N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: Kicker N 40.4% / Faurel T 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books · best price +53.6%
1 39.6%
2 ✓ Pick 60.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.45 ↓ 2.30
Winner 2 1.50 ↑ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Kicker N
40%
2.43
Faurel T
60%
2.35
Total
Over 21.5
49%
1.91
Under 21.5
51%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Kicker NFaurel T
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 3-2 Kicker N
  • Set 1 6-4 Kicker N
  • Set 2 Break 4-3 Kicker N
  • Set 2 6-4 Kicker N
  • Match ended 2-0 Kicker N

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Todi, Italy

1/16-finals (R32)
Travaglia, Stefano0
Kicker, Nicolas0
Mena, Facundo0
Faurel, Thomas2
Roca Batalla, Oriol2
Mashtakov, Nikita0
Caniato, Carlo Alberto1
Passaro, Francesco2
Cecchinato, Marco2
Hardt, Nick0
Forti, Francesco2
Mecarelli, Michele1
Romano, Filippo2
Giunta, Massimo0
Dalla Valle, Enrico0
Torres, Juan Bautista0
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas2
Piraino, Gabriele0
Mrva, Maxim2
Basile, Pierluigi1
Dellien, Murkel0
Galan, Daniel Elahi2
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz0
Gomez, Federico Agustin2
Barrena, Alex2
Kravchenko, Georgii0
Ambrogi, Luciano Emanuel2
Ajdukovic, Duje1
Michalski, Daniel2
Carboni, Lorenzo0
Weis, Alexander0
Neumayer, Lukas2
1/8-finals (R16)
Kicker, Nicolas2
Faurel, Thomas0
Roca Batalla, Oriol0
Passaro, Francesco2
Cecchinato, Marco2
Forti, Francesco0
Romano, Filippo1
Torres, Juan Bautista2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas1
Mrva, Maxim2
Galan, Daniel Elahi0
Gomez, Federico Agustin2
Barrena, Alex2
Ambrogi, Luciano Emanuel0
Michalski, Daniel1
Neumayer, Lukas2
Quarterfinals
Kicker, Nicolas2
Passaro, Francesco0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Torres, Juan Bautista0
Mrva, Maxim0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Barrena, Alex0
Neumayer, Lukas0
Semifinals
Kicker, Nicolas2
Cecchinato, Marco1
Mrva, Maxim2
Barrena, Alex0
Final
Kicker, Nicolas0
Mrva, Maxim0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 13.08.2026 14:06 UTC
Market 1 60.7% @ 1.52 / 2 39.3% @ 2.35
Form 1 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Faurel T 60%
💹 Market Faurel T 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Kicker N - Faurel T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kicker N Faurel T Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 59.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.710 / LogLoss 0.906
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 51.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.523 / LogLoss 0.716
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kicker N 39.6% 46.0% market and model agree
Faurel T 60.4% 54.0% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko40.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.4% / 59.6% probabilities
Rating 1,316 / 1,500 Kicker N / Faurel T
RD 281 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 753-1,879 / 800-2,200 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · value +40.0% · model 59.6%
1 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.76 56.8% 2.02 49.5%
1.71 58.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1%
1.97 50.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5%
2.05 48.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
2.20 45.5%
1.60 62.5%
7.20 13.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5% 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 23.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 25.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 26.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Kicker N
D L W L W
2026-08-11 2026 Todi, Italy
Kicker N Travaglia S 1:1 Kicker N
2026-08-03 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Kicker N Mrva M 2:0 Kicker N
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Kicker N Weissmann Y 0:2 Kicker N
2026-07-29 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kicker N Kicker N 1:2 Ferreira Silva F
2026-07-27 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kicker N Ambrogi L E 0:2 Kicker N
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Faurel T
W L L L W
2026-08-11 2026 Todi, Italy
Mena F 0:2 Faurel T Faurel T
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Skatov T 2:0 Faurel T Faurel T
2026-07-20 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Faurel T 1:2 Rincon D Faurel T
2026-07-13 2026 Bastad, Sweden, Qualifying
Faurel T 1:2 Damas M Faurel T
2026-07-12 2026 Bastad, Sweden, Qualifying
Moller E 0:2 Faurel T Faurel T
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Kicker N WLWLWL
Faurel T LWLLLW

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kicker N vs Faurel T?

By the PropickAI model, Kicker N is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kicker N vs Faurel T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kicker N. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Kicker N vs Faurel T start?

August 13, 2026.