Match center
Start
07.07.2026 11:00 UTC
07.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
ATP Challenger. Triest
Mrva M - Villanueva G
2
:
1
5:7
7:6
6:4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mrva M - Villanueva G 7 июля 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mrva M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
72.8%
2
27.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Mrva M - Villanueva G
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.40
Fonbet · line only
1
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.20
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
3.40
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5
1.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -3.5 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| П1 -4.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| П2 +0.5 | — | — | 3.40 29.4% |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 +3.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.73 57.8% | — | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 -0.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 17.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 18.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 19.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 20.5 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.79 55.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.97 50.8% | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 22.5 | — | — | 4.40 22.7% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 25.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 26.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 27.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 28.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТМ 20.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| ТМ 21.5 | 1.76 56.8% | — | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.41 70.9% |
| П2 | 2.95 33.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 2.70 37.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMrva M - Villanueva G
Mrva M
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals