Who is the favourite in Halys Q vs De Minaur A?

By the PropickAI model, De Minaur A is favoured — about 67% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Halys Q vs De Minaur A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to De Minaur A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick De Minaur A win probability ~67% confidence High best odds 1.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to De Minaur A. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International

2nd round 15.08.2026 19:25 UTC Match prediction

Halys Q - De Minaur A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles

ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 2nd round hard 15.08.2026 19:25 UTC Finished

15.08.2026 19:25 UTC 2nd round Finished

Halys Q France

Rank #8 Elo 3560

65Average Form

L W L W W L W W

De Minaur A Australia

Rank #57 Elo 980

61Average Form

W W L W W W L W

1:2 6:1 3:6 6:7

1 2 3 GP

Halys Q 6 3 6 1

De Minaur A 1 6 7 2

1 2 3

Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Tretiy kort Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Halys Q	De Minaur A
Win %	54.8%	75%
Hard %	52.9%	0%
Clay %	57.3%	0%
Grass %	53.1%	0%
Deciding set %	52.8%	66.7%
Tie-breaks %	55%	100%
Titles (total)	5	0
Last 10	WWWWWWWWLW	LWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

France Country Australia

#8 Rating #57

29 Age 27

191 Height (cm) 183

85 Weight (kg) 69

Right Hand Right

Q Seed 5

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Halys Q	De Minaur A
Aces per match	3.16	10.11
Double faults per match	2.84	2.98
Breaks per match	1.83	1.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Halys Q

51% 21 / 41

51% 21 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

9 iz 12

grass

2 iz 5

hard

10 iz 24

De Minaur A

67% 49 / 73

67% 49 / 73

Sintetika

no data

clay

8 iz 14

grass

8 iz 11

hard

33 iz 48

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Alex De Minaur

Rank:8 Elo: 3560

L W L W W L W W

Quentin Halys

Rank:57 Elo: 980

W W L W W W L W

Elo favourite:De Minaur A (edge +2580 Elo)

Hard

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	64.3% 9 / 14 Matches	64.3% 18 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	64.1% 25 / 39 Matches	52.5% 21 / 40 Matches

Clay

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	54.6% 6 / 11 Matches	62.5% 10 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	54.6% 6 / 11 Matches	62.5% 10 / 16 Matches

Grass

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	71.4% 5 / 7 Matches	25.0% 1 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	71.4% 5 / 7 Matches	25.0% 1 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
H2H wins	0 (0.0%)	2 (100.0%)
Sets	2 (33.3%)	4 (66.7%)
Wins this year	65.1% 28 / 43 Matches	60.7% 34 / 56 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	64.7% 44 / 68 Matches	53.6% 37 / 69 Matches
Current rank	8	57

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
Prize money (career)	$19,673,027 USD	$3,210,778 USD
Rating	8	57
Age	27	29
Height	1.83m	1.91m
Weight	69kg	85kg
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys
Match Wins	65 %	61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	63 %	60 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)	71 %	60 %
Wins in Straight Sets	47 %	41 %
Wins From Behind	21 %	29 %
Won At Least 1 Set	81 %	71 %
Set 1 Win	65 %	50 %
Set 2 Win	63 %	61 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Tournament	Results
Mar 25 2023	Miami ATP (Hard)	Alex De Minaur 1 – 2 Quentin Halys
May 20 2017	Lyon ATP (Clay)	Alex De Minaur 1 – 2 Quentin Halys

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Average Games in a Set	10	10	10
Over 6.5	97 %	100 %	99 %
Over 7.5	94 %	90 %	92 %
Over 8.5	78 %	77 %	78 %
Over 9.5	56 %	54 %	55 %
Over 10.5	28 %	29 %	29 %
Over 11.5	28 %	29 %	29 %

Aces

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Aces Per Match	3.16	10.11	13.27
Most Aces in a match	38 %	74 %	N/A
1+	97 %	98 %	100 %
2+	75 %	98 %	97 %
3+	56 %	94 %	96 %
4+	34 %	87 %	87 %
5+	22 %	85 %	84 %

Breaks

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Breaks Per Match	1.83	1.5	3.33
Over 0.5	100 %	68 %	100 %
Over 1.5	47 %	11 %	83 %
Over 2.5	44 %	6 %	82 %
Over 3.5	3 %	2 %	63 %
Over 4.5	0 %	2 %	4 %
Over 5.5	0 %	0 %	1 %

Tie-breaks

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.47	0.65	0.56
Over 0.5	44 %	56 %	50 %
Over 1.5	3 %	8 %	6 %
Under 0.5	56 %	44 %	50 %
Under 1.5	97 %	92 %	6 %

Double faults

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	2.84	2.98	5.82
Over 0.5 (1+)	94 %	96 %	100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	81 %	72 %	97 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	47 %	55 %	90 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	34 %	36 %	75 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	16 %	23 %	53 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	6 %	9 %	38 %

Net points

	Alex De Minaur	Quentin Halys	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	7.4	8.34	15.74
Over 4.5 (5+)	65 %	74 %	70 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	58 %	65 %	62 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	50 %	56 %	53 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	42 %	47 %	45 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	42 %	41 %	42 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	42 %	32 %	37 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 3.05 31.2% BetBoom

P2 1.38 68.9% BetBoom

Halys Q take on De Minaur A on August 15, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Halys Q 5-0-0, De Minaur A 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 33% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 De Minaur A — 67%

1 · Halys Q33.4%

market 31%

2 · De Minaur A ✓ Pick66.6%

market 69%

Model estimate: win Halys Q 33.4%, win De Minaur A 66.6%. Model favourite — De Minaur A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Halys Q (odds3.35) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed

• 🇦🇺 (tennis)
• Alis K: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• De Minaur A
• 🇦🇺: forma PPVVP (2-3)
• liniya na pik P1 3.75→3.20 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Alis K: probability 54% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.35)
• edge over the line +24 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Halys Q - De Minaur A August 15, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like De Minaur A.

Line favourite Fonbet: De Minaur A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.04
Glicko: Halys Q 33.4% / De Minaur A 66.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 4 books

1 31.0%

2 ✓ Pick 69.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 3.75 ↓ 3.05

Winner 2 1.27 ↑ 1.38

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Halys Q

31%

9.50

De Minaur A

69%

1.38

Total

Over 22.5

50%

1.90

Under 22.5

50%

2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins0

2.0Average score1.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 3.0 (goals)

Team form

Halys Q

9-1WLWWWWWWWW

scored 1.8conceded 0.4

De Minaur A

6-4LWWWLWWLWL

scored 1.6conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Tretiy kort

Start 15.08.2026 19:25 UTC

Market 1 9.9% @ 9.50 / 2 90.1% @ 1.04

Stage 2-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model De Minaur A 67%

💹 Market De Minaur A 69%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Halys Q - De Minaur A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Kenten Alis - Aleks de Minor. Tsintsinnati (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Halys Q De Minaur A Result

Set 1 6 1 6:1

Set 2 3 6 3:6

Set 3 6 7 6:7

Metric Halys Q De Minaur A SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final

Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final

Eysy 0 0 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final

Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final

Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final

Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 66.6% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.223 / LogLoss 0.406

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.0% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Halys Q 31.2% 29.6% market and model agree

De Minaur A 68.9% 70.4% market and model agree

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko33.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.42).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 33.4% / 66.6% probabilities

Rating 1,818 / 1,788 Halys Q / De Minaur A

RD 223 / 146 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,371-2,265 / 1,496-2,081 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%

1 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 33.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Over 10.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.02 98.0%
	1.82 55.0%
	9.00 11.1%
	5.80 17.2%
	2.50 40.0%
	3.20 31.3%
	1.78 56.2%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.90 34.5%
	3.90 25.6%
	10.00 10.0%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.09 91.7%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.65 60.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	6.50 15.4%
	1.08 92.6%
	11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 17.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 19.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 20.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 21.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 23.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5	1.25 80.0%
Over 25.5	1.03 97.1%
Over 26.5	1.02 98.0%
Over 27.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 28.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 17.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 19.5	1.65 60.6%
Under 20.5	1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5	2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5	2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5	1.70 58.8%
Under 24.5	3.55 28.2%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.08 92.6%
Under 2.5	6.50 15.4%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0

2023-03-25 · Kanten Gali 2:1 Aleks De Minaur

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.4 (Pari) · 2 1.33 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	3.4	1.32
Winline	3.3	1.33
Fonbet	3.4	1.32
Betcity	3.4	1.32

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Halys Q

W W W W W

2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Halys Q Kopriva V 0:2 Halys Q

2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying

Halys Q Halys Q 2:0 Bu Yunchaokete

2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying

Halys Q Halys Q 2:1 Kwon Soon Woo

2026-07-25 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria

Halys Q Bublik A 0:2 Halys Q

2026-07-24 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria

Halys Q Hanfmann Y 0:2 Halys Q

5 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.2 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

De Minaur A

L W L W W

2026-08-06 2026 Montreal, Canada

Norrie C 2:1 De Minaur A De Minaur A

2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada

Duckworth J 0:2 De Minaur A De Minaur A

2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA

De Minaur A 0:2 Nakashima B De Minaur A

2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA

De Minaur A 2:0 Hewitt Cruz De Minaur A

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

De Minaur A 2:1 Tsitsipas S De Minaur A

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyHalys Q - De Minaur A

Halys Q

0 matches total

De Minaur A

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2023 Mayami (m) hard 2-y krug 15 A. Aleks de Minor Aleks de Minor (Australia) 1 7 6 K. Kenten Alis Kenten Alis (France) 2 6 7 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'

Halys Q - De Minaur A

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

Form over the last year

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Head-to-Head Record

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Halys Q - De Minaur A August 15, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Halys Q - De Minaur A

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions