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ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. HardInternational
02.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Gea A - Shapovalov D
Gea A go head-to-head with Shapovalov D on August 2, 2026 in the ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gea A 4-0-1, Shapovalov D 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Shapovalov D — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Shapovalov D): model 47% · market 58%Δ −11 ppmodel estimates below the market
56%2
1 · Gea A43.8%
2 · Shapovalov D56.2%
Model estimate: win Gea A 43.8%, win Shapovalov D 56.2%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Shapovalov D (odds1.60)Score 1:2confidence 56%
•Gea A: forma VVVVV (5-0)
•Shapovalov D: forma VVVVP (4-1)
•liniya na pik P2 1.65→1.63 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Shapovalov D: probability 56% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gea A - Shapovalov D August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.65
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.1%
142.3%
257.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P12.20→ 2.20
Pobeditel P21.65→ 1.65
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard
ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hardhard02.08.2026 03:00 UTCNot started
02.08.2026 03:00 UTCNot started
Gea A
WWWWL
Shapovalov D
WWWWL
-:-
Odds
P12.23
42.5% BetBoom
P21.65
57.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Match center
Start02.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market1 42.3% @ 2.25 / 2 57.7% @ 1.65
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
Gea A - Shapovalov D
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Gea A42.7%43.8%
Shapovalov D57.3%56.2%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P243.8% / 56.2%
probabilities
Rating1,896 / 1,872
Gea A / Shapovalov D
RD202 / 194
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,491-2,301 / 1,485-2,260
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.65
Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%
12.25
Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
Handicap
2 -0.51.57
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.65
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.52.25
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.51.37
Fonbet · line only
Over 20.51.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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