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ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard
ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard International
30.07.2026 05:15 UTC Match prediction

Norrie C - Duckworth J

Tennis ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard
ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard hard 30.07.2026 05:15 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 05:15 UTC Finished
Norrie C
Norrie C
Duckworth J
Duckworth J
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.40 71.4% BetBoom
P2 3.50 28.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Norrie C — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Norrie C): model 45% · market 78% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Norrie C ✓ Pick68.5%
market78%
2 · Duckworth J31.5%
market22%

Model estimate: win Norrie C 68.5%, win Duckworth J 31.5%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Norrie C (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧 — Dakuort Dzh (tennis)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • Dakuort Dzh: forma V (1-0)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.35 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 66% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norrie C - Duckworth J July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrie C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 3.50
  • Glicko: Norrie C 68.5% / Duckworth J 31.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 27.6%
1 ✓ Pick 77.6%
2 22.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 → 1.40
Winner 2 2.95 ↑ 3.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 05:15 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Norrie C - Duckworth J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 68.5% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.199 / LogLoss 0.379
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.2% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.457 / LogLoss 0.650
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Norrie C 71.0% 68.5% market and model agree
Duckworth J 29.0% 31.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.5% / 31.5% probabilities
Rating 1,395 / 1,643 Norrie C / Duckworth J
RD 198 / 288 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 999-1,790 / 1,068-2,219 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.34 market consensus · no value · model 31.5%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 68.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.18 84.8%
1.02 98.0%
2.50 40.0%
2.13 47.0%
7.10 14.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.05 48.8%
2.02 49.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.60 38.5%
4.30 23.3%
11.50 8.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.05 95.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 18.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 19.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 20.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 23.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 26.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 27.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 17.5 4.40 22.7%
Under 18.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 19.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 20.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 21.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 22.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 23.5 1.01 99.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.36 73.5%
3.47 28.8% 3.50 28.6% 16.00 6.3% 3.05 32.8%
Match center
Norrie C
W L W L L
28.07 00:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 EXHIBITION - Men: UTS Championship (World), clay
Norrie C 0:3 Cherundolo F. 🇦🇷Cherundolo F. 🇦🇷
16.07 22:00 UTC+0 EXHIBITION - Men: UTS Championship (World), clay
Norrie C 3:1 Mute K. 🇫🇷Mute K. 🇫🇷
26.05 10:25 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Norrie C 0:1 Vallekho D. (Par)Vallekho D. (Par)
20.05 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Zheneva (Switzerland), clay
Norrie C 0:2 Navone M. 🇦🇷Navone M. 🇦🇷
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Duckworth J
W
29.07 01:00 UTC ATP. Los-Kabos
Duckworth J 2:1 Mayo EMayo E
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNorrie C - Duckworth J

Norrie C
0 matches total
Duckworth J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history