Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Duckworth J — 58%
Pure model vs market (2 · Duckworth J): model 43% · market 70% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mayo A 42.4%, win Duckworth J 57.6%. Model favourite — Duckworth J.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Duckworth J.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.98 50.5% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| — | — | 6.10 16.4% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 1.08 92.6% | |
| — | 1.82 55.0% | 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 1.48 67.6% | |
| — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| Over 21.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 27.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 28.5 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 29.5 | — | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Over 30.5 | — | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 31.5 | — | — | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 19.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 22.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% | 16.00 6.3% | 2.27 44.1% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.61 62.1% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.05 | 1.38 |
| Winline | 2.5 | 1.49 |
| Fonbet | 3.05 | 1.38 |
| Betcity | 3 | 1.4 |
Mayo A
King Evan
Duckworth J
King Evan
Full head-to-head historyMayo A - Duckworth J
The Mayo A - Duckworth J breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.