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ATP. Monreal. hard. Qualifying
ATP. Monreal. hard. Qualifying International
01.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Shimabukuro S - Budkov Kjaer N

Shimabukuro S go head-to-head with Budkov Kjaer N on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard. Qualifying, International.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shimabukuro S — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shimabukuro S): model 62% · market 57% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Shimabukuro S ✓ Pick57.2%
2 · Budkov Kjaer N42.8%

Model estimate: win Shimabukuro S 57.2%, win Budkov Kjaer N 42.8%. Model favourite — Shimabukuro S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shimabukuro S (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • Shimabukuro Sh: forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • • Budkov-Ker N: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Shimabukuro Sh: probability 57% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shimabukuro S - Budkov Kjaer N August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shimabukuro S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 ✓ Pick 56.7%
2 43.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.68 → 1.68
Pobeditel P2 2.20 → 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shimabukuro S
6-4WLLLWWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Budkov Kjaer N

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard. Qualifying
ATP. Monreal. hard. Qualifying hard 01.08.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
Shimabukuro S
Shimabukuro S
Budkov Kjaer N
Budkov Kjaer N
-:-
Odds
P1 1.68 56.7% BetBoom
P2 2.20 43.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 56.7% @ 1.68 / 2 43.3% @ 2.20
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Shimabukuro S - Budkov Kjaer N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shimabukuro S 56.7% 57.2% market and model agree
Budkov Kjaer N 43.3% 42.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.2% / 42.8% probabilities
Rating 1,595 / 1,256 Shimabukuro S / Budkov Kjaer N
RD 130 / 285 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,335-1,855 / 686-1,826 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 42.8%
1 1.68 Fonbet · no value · model 57.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2%
2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Shimabukuro S
L L L L W
29.07 01:00 UTC+0 ATP. Los-Kabos
Shimabukuro S 1:2 Pacheko-Mendes RPacheko-Mendes R
28.07 23:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shimabukuro S 1:2 Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
30.06 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Shimabukuro S 1:3 Fariya Dzh. 🇵🇹Fariya Dzh. 🇵🇹
12.06 14:50 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Shtutgart (Germany), grass
Shimabukuro S 1:2 Shelton B. 🇺🇸Shelton B. 🇺🇸
11.06 08:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Shtutgart (Germany), grass
Shimabukuro S 2:1 Kiros N. 🇦🇺Kiros N. 🇦🇺
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Budkov Kjaer N
L
14.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP. Bostad
Budkov Kjaer N 0:2 Pellegrino APellegrino A
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage