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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International
1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Berrettini M - Navone M

Berrettini M meet Navone M on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Berrettini M — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Berrettini M): model 50% · market 65% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Berrettini M ✓ Pick63.9%
market65%
2 · Navone M36.1%
market35%

Model estimate: win Berrettini M 63.9%, win Navone M 36.1%. Model favourite — Berrettini M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Berrettini M - Navone M August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Berrettini M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 ✓ Pick 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.45 → 1.45
Pobeditel P2 2.75 → 2.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard 1 round hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1 round Not started
Berrettini M
Berrettini M Italy
Navone M
Navone M Argentina
-:-
Odds
P1 1.45 65.5% BetBoom
P2 2.75 34.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Argentina
- Rating -
30 Age 25
196 Height (cm) 178
95 Weight (kg) 73
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Berrettini M
58% 23 / 40
58% 23 / 40
Synthetic
no data
Clay
9 of 17
Grass
2 of 3
Hard
12 of 20
Navone M
48% 20 / 42
48% 20 / 42
Synthetic
no data
Clay
17 of 27
Grass
0 of 2
Hard
3 of 13

Head-to-head history

2025
Monte-Karlo Clay
1 round Q
  Berrettini M 0
  Navone M 0
2024
Marrakesh Clay
semi-final SR
  Berrettini M 0
  Navone M 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 65.1% @ 1.45 / 2 34.9% @ 2.70
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Berrettini M - Navone M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Berrettini M 65.5% 63.9% market and model agree
Navone M 34.5% 36.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.9% / 36.1% probabilities
Rating 1,462 / 1,541 Berrettini M / Navone M
RD 266 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 931-1,993 / 1,148-1,934 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 36.1%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 63.9%
Total
Over 23.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 23.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% —
— — 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 23.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.46 68.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.45 69.0%
2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0%
Match center
Berrettini M
L W
03.06 18:30 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Berrettini M 0:3 Arnaldi MArnaldi M
28.05 18:30 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Berrettini M 3:0 Rinderknesh ARinderknesh A
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Navone M
L W W L
23.07 09:05 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Navone M 0:2 Alis KAlis K
22.07 10:45 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Navone M 2:0 Shtruff Ya-LShtruff Ya-L
20.07 09:00 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Navone M 2:0 Myuller AMyuller A
15.07 13:53 UTC+0 ATP. Bostad
Navone M 0:2 Travalya STravalya S
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBerrettini M - Navone M

Berrettini M
0 matches total
Navone M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history