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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Carreno Busta P - Royer V

Carreno Busta P meet Royer V on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Carreno Busta P — 53%

1 · Carreno Busta P52.9%
2 · Royer V47.1%

Model estimate: win Carreno Busta P 52.9%, win Royer V 47.1%. Model favourite — Carreno Busta P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Carreno Busta P - Royer V August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Carreno Busta P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 65.5%
2 34.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.45 → 1.45
Pobeditel P2 2.75 → 2.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
Carreno Busta P
Carreno Busta P
Royer V
Royer V
-:-
Odds
P1 1.45 65.5% BetBoom
P2 2.75 34.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 65.5% @ 1.45 / 2 34.5% @ 2.75
Form 4 matches
Match center

Carreno Busta P - Royer V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Carreno Busta P 65.5% 52.9% market and model agree
Royer V 34.5% 47.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.9% / 47.1% probabilities
Rating 1,633 / 1,618 Carreno Busta P / Royer V
RD 198 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,237-2,029 / 1,041-2,195 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 Fonbet · weak value +29.6% · model 47.1%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 52.9%
Total
Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.72 58.1%
— — 2.05 48.8%
2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% —
— — 2.05 48.8%
— — 1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.45 69.0%
2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Carreno Busta P
L W L W W
23.07 11:05 UTC+0 ATP. Eshtoril
Carreno Busta P 1:2 Van Ash LVan Ash L
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP. Eshtoril. clay
Carreno Busta P 2:0 Gaubas VGaubas V
15.07 16:10 UTC+0 ATP. Umag
Carreno Busta P 1:2 Ugo Karabeli KUgo Karabeli K
14.07 14:08 UTC+0 ATP. Umag
Carreno Busta P 2:0 Dodig MDodig M
29.06 10:05 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Carreno Busta P 3:0 Shapovalov DShapovalov D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Royer V
W
07.07 16:40 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Yassy
Royer V 2:0 Noykrist M
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCarreno Busta P - Royer V

Carreno Busta P
0 matches total
Royer V
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history