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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC

Carreno Busta P - Royer V

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Carreno Busta P go head-to-head with Royer V on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Carreno Busta P 2-0-3, Royer V 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Carreno Busta P — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Carreno Busta P): model 53% · market 65% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Carreno Busta P ✓ Pick64.2%
market65%
2 · Royer V35.8%
market35%

Model estimate: win Carreno Busta P 64.2%, win Royer V 35.8%. Model favourite — Carreno Busta P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Carreno Busta P (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 63%
  • • Karreno-Busta P: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Ruaye V: forma V (1-0)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.45→1.47 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Karreno-Busta P: probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Carreno Busta P - Royer V August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Carreno Busta P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 65.5%
2 34.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.45 → 1.45
Winner P2 2.75 → 2.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:AH1(-1.5) po setam
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated03.08.2026 14:28 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2 Ruaye po 2.65 (EV +6,0%, 1,2% banka); strakhovka — Ruaye Handicap +4.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 22.5 AH1(-1.5) po setam
Claude 60% 40% 1:2 Over 22.5
Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard hard 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Not started
Carreno Busta P
Carreno Busta P
L W L W L
Royer V
Royer V
L L W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.45 65.9% BetBoom
P2 2.80 34.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market 1 65.5% @ 1.45 / 2 34.5% @ 2.75
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Carreno Busta P 63%
📐 Math model Carreno Busta P 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Carreno Busta P - Royer V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Carreno Busta P 65.5% 64.2% market and model agree
Royer V 34.5% 35.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.2% / 35.8% probabilities
Rating 1,637 / 1,618 Carreno Busta P / Royer V
RD 196 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,245-2,029 / 1,040-2,196 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 Fonbet · no value · model 35.8%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 64.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.53 65.4%
1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% —
2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% —
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 3.05 32.8%
2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 3.50 28.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% —
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.05 48.8%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 26.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 19.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5 — — 2.08 48.1%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Under 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.46 (Winline) · 2 2.85 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.45 2.7
Winline 1.46 2.7
Fonbet 1.45 2.7
Betcity 1.43 2.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Carreno Busta P
L W L W L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Carreno Busta P Van Assche L 2:1 Carreno Busta P
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Carreno Busta P Gaubas V 0:2 Carreno Busta P
2026-07-15 2026 Umag, Croatia
Carreno Busta P Carreno Busta P 1:2 Ugo Carabelli C
2026-07-14 2026 Umag, Croatia
Carreno Busta P Dodig M 0:2 Carreno Busta P
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Carreno Busta P Jodar R 3:2 Carreno Busta P
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Royer V
L L W W W
2026-07-14 2026 Umag, Croatia
Molcan A 2:0 Royer V Royer V
2026-07-11 2026 Iasi, Romania
Royer V 0:2 Droguet T Royer V
2026-07-10 2026 Iasi, Romania
Royer V 2:1 Daniel T Royer V
2026-07-09 2026 Iasi, Romania
Royer V 2:1 Wallin O Royer V
2026-07-07 2026 Iasi, Romania
Royer V 2:0 Neuchrist M Royer V
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCarreno Busta P - Royer V

Carreno Busta P
0 matches total
Royer V
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history