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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International

Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H

Cerundolo J M go head-to-head with Medjedovic H on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Medjedovic H63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Medjedovic H): model 53% · market 65% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cerundolo J M37.4%
market35%
2 · Medjedovic H ✓ Pick62.6%
market65%

Model estimate: win Cerundolo J M 37.4%, win Medjedovic H 62.6%. Model favourite — Medjedovic H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Medjedovic H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 34.5%
2 ✓ Pick 65.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.65 → 2.65
Pobeditel P2 1.50 → 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard 1 round hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1 round Not started
Cerundolo J M
Cerundolo J M Argentina
Medjedovic H
Medjedovic H Serbia
-:-
Odds
P1 2.65 36.1% BetBoom
P2 1.50 63.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Serbia
- Rating -
24 Age 23
183 Height (cm) 188
75 Weight (kg) 86
Left Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Cerundolo J M
43% 13 / 30
43% 13 / 30
Synthetic
no data
Clay
10 of 21
Grass
2 of 4
Hard
1 of 5
Medjedovic H
48% 16 / 33
48% 16 / 33
Synthetic
no data
Clay
7 of 11
Grass
1 of 3
Hard
8 of 19

Head-to-head history

2025
Rolan Garros (m) Clay
2 round Q
  Cerundolo J M 0
  Medjedovic H 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 34.5% @ 2.75 / 2 65.5% @ 1.45
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Khuan-Manuel Serundolo - Khamad Medzhedovich. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cerundolo J M 36.3% 37.4%
Medjedovic H 63.7% 62.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.4% / 62.6% probabilities
Rating 1,309 / 1,500 Cerundolo J M / Medjedovic H
RD 218 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 873-1,745 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 62.6%
1 2.75 Fonbet · no value · model 37.4%
Total
Over 22.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 22.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.60 38.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.60 38.5%
1.49 67.1% 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Cerundolo J M
L W L L
20.07 09:00 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Cerundolo J M 0:2 Trungeliti MTrungeliti M
17.07 11:30 UTC+0 ATP. Gshtad
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud KRuud K
29.06 15:42 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Cerundolo J M 0:3 Davidovich Fokina ADavidovich Fokina A
25.06 10:05 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Cerundolo J M 0:2 Samuel TSamuel T
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.5 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
25% Win percentage
Medjedovic H
L W L
20.07 09:00 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Medjedovic H 0:2 Trungeliti MTrungeliti M
17.07 11:30 UTC+0 ATP. Gshtad
Medjedovic H 2:1 Ruud KRuud K
29.06 15:42 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Medjedovic H 0:3 Davidovich Fokina ADavidovich Fokina A
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
33% Win percentage