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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International
1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Michelsen A - Struff J-L

Michelsen A meet Struff J-L on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Michelsen A — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Michelsen A): model 62% · market 72% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick71.1%
market72%
2 · Struff J-L28.9%
market28%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 71.1%, win Struff J-L 28.9%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - Struff J-L August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.32 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 ✓ Pick 72.0%
2 28.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.33 ↓ 1.32
Pobeditel P2 3.35 ↑ 3.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard 1 round hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1 round Not started
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA
Struff J-L
Struff J-L Germany
-:-
Odds
P1 1.32 74.7% BetBoom
P2 3.90 25.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Germany
- Rating -
21 Age 36
193 Height (cm) 193
79 Weight (kg) 92
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Michelsen A
50% 24 / 48
50% 24 / 48
Synthetic
no data
Clay
6 of 12
Grass
0 of 1
Hard
18 of 35
Struff J-L
46% 16 / 35
46% 16 / 35
Synthetic
no data
Clay
4 of 9
Grass
6 of 9
Hard
6 of 17

Head-to-head history

2026
Madrid (m) Clay
2 round
  Michelsen A 0
  Struff J-L 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 72.0% @ 1.32 / 2 28.0% @ 3.40
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Michelsen A - Struff J-L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Aleks Mikhelsen - Yan-Lennard Shtruff. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Michelsen A 72.0% 71.1% market and model agree
Struff J-L 28.0% 28.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.1% / 28.9% probabilities
Rating 1,773 / 1,426 Michelsen A / Struff J-L
RD 155 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,464-2,082 / 984-1,868 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · no value · model 28.9%
1 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 71.1%
Total
Over 21.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 21.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.07 48.3%
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% —
— — 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.32 75.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.32 75.8%
3.40 29.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.40 29.4%
Match center
Michelsen A
L W W W W
31.07 20:23 UTC+0 ATP. Vashington
Michelsen A 1:2 Frits TFrits T
28.07 16:40 UTC+0 ATP. Vashington
Michelsen A 2:0 Makdonald MMakdonald M
25.07 18:30 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Michelsen A 2:1 Suresh D
24.07 22:15 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Michelsen A 2:0 Layal MLayal M
23.07 21:03 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Michelsen A 2:0 Kharris LKharris L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Struff J-L
L W L
22.07 10:45 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Struff J-L 0:2 Navone MNavone M
20.07 09:00 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Struff J-L 2:1 Shevchenko AShevchenko A
07.07 12:00 UTC+0 Uimbldon. Men
Struff J-L 0:3 Sinner YaSinner Ya
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - Struff J-L

Michelsen A
0 matches total
Struff J-L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history