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ATP. Monreal. hard International

1 round 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Sonego L face Griekspoor T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sonego L 3-0-2, Griekspoor T 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sonego L — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sonego L): model 62% · market 50% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Sonego L50.9%

2 · Griekspoor T49.1%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 50.9%, win Griekspoor T 49.1%. Model favourite — Sonego L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.93) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Sonego L: forma PV (1)
• Grikspor T: forma PPV (1-2)
• liniya na pik P1 2.02→1.90 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Sonego L: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
• no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sonego L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 2 books · best price +1.1%

1 49.7%

2 50.3%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.02 ↓ 1.90

Winner P2 1.80 ↑ 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard

ATP. Monreal. hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC Not started

04.08.2026 18:05 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Sonego L Italy Seed 80

L W L W W

Griekspoor T Netherlands Seed 67

L L L L W

-:-

Odds

P1 1.91 49.9% BetBoom

P2 1.90 50.1% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands

- Rating -

31 Age 30

191 Height (cm) 188

76 Weight (kg) 85

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

80 Seed 67

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L

46% 18 / 39

46% 18 / 39

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 9

grass

3 iz 6

hard

12 iz 24

Griekspoor T

32% 13 / 41

32% 13 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 7

grass

1 iz 4

hard

11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024

ATP. Monreal. hard

Sonego L 0

Griekspoor T 0

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC

Market 1 50.0% @ 1.90 / 2 50.0% @ 1.90

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sonego L 49.7% 50.9% Glicko contrarian

Griekspoor T 50.3% 49.1% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 50.9% / 49.1% probabilities

Rating 1,525 / 1,223 Sonego L / Griekspoor T

RD 256 / 221 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,013-2,037 / 782-1,665 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 49.1%

1 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 50.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 20.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Over 21.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.80 55.6%	1.84 54.4%
	1.65 60.6%	—
	1.50 66.7%	—
	1.35 74.1%	—
	1.92 52.1%	—
	2.10 47.6%	—
	2.40 41.7%	—
	3.00 33.3%	—
	1.95 51.3%	—
	2.10 47.6%	—
	2.40 41.7%	—
	3.00 33.3%	—
	1.78 56.2%	1.94 51.6%
	1.65 60.6%	—
	1.50 66.7%	—
	1.35 74.1%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
Over 20.5	1.37 73.0%	—
Over 21.5	1.50 66.7%	—
Over 22.5	1.72 58.1%	1.79 55.9%
Over 23.5	2.00 50.0%	2.01 49.8%
Over 24.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Over 25.5	2.15 46.5%	—
Over 26.5	2.45 40.8%	—
Over 27.5	2.65 37.7%	—
Under 20.5	2.85 35.1%	—
Under 21.5	2.45 40.8%	—
Under 22.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 23.5	1.80 55.6%	—
Under 24.5	1.72 58.1%	—
Under 25.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 26.5	1.50 66.7%	—
Under 27.5	1.42 70.4%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%
	1.90 52.6%	1.86 53.8%

Match center

Sonego L

L W L W W

2026-07-15 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Collignon R 2:0 Sonego L

2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Sonego L 2:0 Schwaerzler J

2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Fritz T 3:1 Sonego L

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Sonego L 3:1 Etcheverry T M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.8 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Griekspoor T

L L L L W

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Tabilo A 2:1 Griekspoor T Griekspoor T

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Griekspoor T 1:3 Duckworth J Griekspoor T

2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany

Griekspoor T 1:2 Shimabukuro S Griekspoor T

2026-06-11 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 0:2 Zhang Zhizhen Griekspoor T

2026-06-09 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 2:1 Van de Zandschulp B Griekspoor T

1 Wins

4 Losses

1.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L

0 matches total

Griekspoor T

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'