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ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard International
1 round 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC

Svajda Z - Shapovalov D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Svajda Z take on Shapovalov D on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Svajda Z 2-1-2, Shapovalov D 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shapovalov D — 58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shapovalov D): model 54% · market 58% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Svajda Z42.1%
2 · Shapovalov D ✓ Pick57.9%

Model estimate: win Svajda Z 42.1%, win Shapovalov D 57.9%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shapovalov D (odds1.55) Score 1:2 confidence 61%
  • • Svayda Z: forma PV (1)
  • • Shapovalov D: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.55 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Shapovalov D: probability 61% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Svajda Z - Shapovalov D August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books
1 41.6%
2 ✓ Pick 58.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.35 ↓ 2.30
Winner P2 1.60 ↑ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Under 23.5 Bet:P2
Per AI data Form:LWLWL / LWWWW H2H: 0:0
Claude updated03.08.2026 14:33 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 44% 56% 1:2 Under 23.5 P2
Claude 42% 58% 2:0 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Tennis ATP. Monreal. hard
ATP. Monreal. hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Svajda Z
Svajda Z USA Seed 76
L L W L W
Shapovalov D
Shapovalov D Canada Seed 68
L W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.30 41.6% BetBoom
P2 1.64 58.4% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Canada
- Rating -
23 Age 27
175 Height (cm) 185
70 Weight (kg) 75
Pravsha Hand Levsha
76 Seed 68
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Svajda Z
43% 9 / 21
43% 9 / 21
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 7
grass
2 iz 4
hard
3 iz 10
Shapovalov D
47% 21 / 45
47% 21 / 45
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 7
grass
1 iz 4
hard
18 iz 34

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market 1 41.5% @ 2.30 / 2 58.5% @ 1.63
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Shapovalov D 57%
📐 Math model Shapovalov D 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Svajda Z - Shapovalov D

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Zakhari Svayda - Denis Shapovalov. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Svajda Z 41.6% 42.1%
Shapovalov D 58.4% 57.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.1% / 57.9% probabilities
Rating 1,623 / 1,801 Svajda Z / Shapovalov D
RD 233 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,158-2,088 / 1,473-2,128 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 57.9%
1 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 42.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% —
1.82 55.0% 1.98 50.5% —
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.47 68.0%
1.97 50.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 26.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 19.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 20.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
Under 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1%
1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.63 61.4% 1.64 61.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.17 (Betcity) · 2 1.7 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.15 1.7
Winline 2.15 1.7
Fonbet 2.15 1.7
Betcity 2.17 1.69
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Svajda Z
L D W L W
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Svajda Z Vukic A 2:0 Svajda Z
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda Z Svajda Z 1:1 Hewitt Cruz
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda Z Svajda Z 2:0 Kozlov S
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Svajda Z De Minaur A 3:1 Svajda Z
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Svajda Z Svajda Z 3:2 Majchrzak K
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Shapovalov D
L W W W W
2026-08-02 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A 2:0 Shapovalov D Shapovalov D
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 1:2 Shapovalov D Shapovalov D
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:0 Svrcina D Shapovalov D
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R Shapovalov D
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:1 Hijikata R Shapovalov D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySvajda Z - Shapovalov D

Svajda Z
0 matches total
Shapovalov D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal