Atmane T go head-to-head with Draper J on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atmane T 1-0-4, Draper J 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Draper J — 64%
Pure model vs market (2 · Draper J): model 51% · market 65%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
64%2
1 · Atmane T35.8%
market35%
2 · Draper J ✓ Pick64.2%
market65%
Model estimate: win Atmane T 35.8%, win Draper J 64.2%. Model favourite — Draper J.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.48 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Dreyper Dzh: probability 63% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
•no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atmane T - Draper J August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atmane T.
Line favourite Fonbet: Atmane T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 1.46
Glicko: Atmane T 35.8% / Draper J 64.2%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.5%
4 books · best price +1003.5%
134.7%
2 ✓ Pick65.3%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 12.35↓ 1.01
Winner 21.60↑ 16.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Atmane T
3-7LWWLWLLLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.5
Draper J
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:1/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 19:15 UTC
142%
258%✓ favourite
Score1:2Total games: Over 22.5Bet:1
Per AI dataH2H: 0:0
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
42%
58%
1:2
Over 22.5
Match center
StadiumIGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start04.08.2026 19:09 UTC
Market1 59.1% @ 1.01 / 2 40.9% @ 1.46
Stage1-y krug
Coveragehard
Form9 matches
H2H3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsDraper J 58%
📐 Math modelDraper J 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Atmane T - Draper J
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Terens Atman - Dzhek Dreyper, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Terens Atman - Dzhek Dreyper, kto pobedil.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 64.2% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.823 / LogLoss 1.026
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 51.7% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.535 / LogLoss 0.728
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Atmane T34.4%35.8%
Draper J65.6%64.2%market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P235.8% / 64.2%
probabilities
Rating1,380 / 1,500
Atmane T / Draper J
RD181 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,018-1,742 / 800-2,200
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.44
market consensus · no value · model 64.2%
11.01
Fonbet · no value · model 35.8%
Handicap
2 +0.52.75
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.01
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 14.51.90
market consensus · line only
Over 20.51.38
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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