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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Baez S - Bellucci M

Baez S meet Bellucci M on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Baez S 3-0-2, Bellucci M 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Baez S — 53%

1 · Baez S53.3%
2 · Bellucci M46.7%

Model estimate: win Baez S 53.3%, win Bellucci M 46.7%. Model favourite — Baez S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baez S - Bellucci M August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bellucci M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.02 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 47.1%
2 52.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.02 → 2.02
Pobeditel P2 1.80 → 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1 round Not started
Baez S
Baez S Argentina
L W W L W
Bellucci M
Bellucci M Italy
L L W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.02 47.1% BetBoom
P2 1.80 52.9% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Italy
- Rating -
25 Age 25
170 Height (cm) 175
70 Weight (kg) 77
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Baez S
49% 24 / 49
49% 24 / 49
Synthetic
no data
Clay
11 of 23
Grass
0 of 1
Hard
13 of 25
Bellucci M
38% 11 / 29
38% 11 / 29
Synthetic
no data
Clay
3 of 7
Grass
3 of 6
Hard
5 of 16

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":48,"full":100,"game":"11 of 23"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 1"},{"category":"hard","value":52,"full":100,"game":"13 of 25"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":24,"game":49,"pct":"49%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":43,"full":100,"game":"3 of 7"},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"3 of 6"},{"category":"hard","value":31,"full":100,"game":"5 of 16"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":11,"game":29,"pct":"38%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 47.1% @ 2.02 / 2 52.9% @ 1.80
Form 3 matches
Match center

Baez S - Bellucci M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Sebastyan Baes - Mattiya Belluchchi. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Baez S 47.1% 53.3% Glicko contrarian
Bellucci M 52.9% 46.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.3% / 46.7% probabilities
Rating 1,532 / 1,500 Baes S / Belluchchi M
RD 168 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,196-1,867 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%
1 2.02 Fonbet · value +7.7% · model 53.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 23.5 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Under 23.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 23.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5%
Under 23.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Baez S
L W W L W
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S Hanfmann Y 2:0 Baez S
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S Baez S 2:1 Rinderknech A
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S Baez S 2:1 Kecmanovic M
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Baez S Rublev A 2:0 Baez S
2026-07-16 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Baez S De Jong J 0:2 Baez S
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Bellucci M
L L W W W
2026-06-23 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Humbert U 2:1 Bellucci M Bellucci M
2026-06-18 2026 Halle, Germany
Collignon R 2:1 Bellucci M Bellucci M
2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany
Bellucci M 2:0 Bublik A Bellucci M
2026-06-14 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying
Bellucci M 2:1 Bolt A Bellucci M
2026-06-13 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying
Bellucci M 2:0 Kukushkin M Bellucci M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaez S - Bellucci M

Baez S
0 matches total
Bellucci M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history