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ATP. Monreal International

1 round 03.08.2026 19:35 UTC

Baez S - Bellucci M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Baez S meet Bellucci M on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Baez S 3-0-2, Bellucci M 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Baez S — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Baez S): model 53% · market 52% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Baez S52.1%

2 · Bellucci M47.9%

Model estimate: win Baez S 52.1%, win Bellucci M 47.9%. Model favourite — Baez S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bellucci M (odds1.80) Score 1:2 confidence 52%

• Baes S: forma PVVPV (3-2)
• Model backs Belluchchi M: probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baez S - Bellucci M August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Baez S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 51.6%

2 48.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.02 ↓ 1.85

Winner P2 1.80 ↑ 1.97

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 19:35 UTC Not started

03.08.2026 19:35 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Baez S Argentina

L W W L W

Bellucci M Italy

L L W W W

-:-

Odds

P1 1.85 52.0% BetBoom

P2 2.00 48.1% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Italy

- Rating -

25 Age 25

170 Height (cm) 175

70 Weight (kg) 77

Pravsha Hand Levsha

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Baez S

49% 24 / 49

49% 24 / 49

Sintetika

no data

clay

11 iz 23

grass

0 iz 1

hard

13 iz 25

Bellucci M

38% 11 / 29

38% 11 / 29

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 7

grass

3 iz 6

hard

5 iz 16

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort

Start 03.08.2026 19:35 UTC

Market 1 51.6% @ 1.85 / 2 48.4% @ 1.97

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Baez S - Bellucci M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Sebastyan Baes - Mattiya Belluchchi. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Baez S 52.0% 52.1% market and model agree

Bellucci M 48.0% 47.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 52.1% / 47.9% probabilities

Rating 1,532 / 1,500 Baes S / Belluchchi M

RD 168 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,196-1,867 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.97 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%

1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 21.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
1.91 52.4%	—	1.73 57.8%	1.92 52.1%
—	—	1.63 61.4%	—
1.89 52.9%	—	1.88 53.2%	1.84 54.4%
—	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	—
1.89 52.9%	—	2.00 50.0%	1.93 51.8%
—	1.79 55.9%	2.15 46.5%	—
1.87 53.5%	—	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%
—	—	1.73 57.8%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 21.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%	—
Over 22.5	1.89 52.9%	1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	1.82 55.0%
Over 23.5	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.07 48.3%	1.91 52.4%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%	—
Under 21.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%	—
Under 22.5	1.89 52.9%	1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 23.5	1.84 54.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.67 59.9%	—
Under 24.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.84 54.4%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.79 55.9%
	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.97 50.8%	2.00 50.0%

Match center

Baez S

L W W L W

2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria

Baez S Hanfmann Y 2:0 Baez S

2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria

Baez S Baez S 2:1 Rinderknech A

2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria

Baez S Baez S 2:1 Kecmanovic M

2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden

Baez S Rublev A 2:0 Baez S

2026-07-16 2026 Bastad, Sweden

Baez S De Jong J 0:2 Baez S

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Bellucci M

L L W W W

2026-06-23 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain

Humbert U 2:1 Bellucci M Bellucci M

2026-06-18 2026 Halle, Germany

Collignon R 2:1 Bellucci M Bellucci M

2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany

Bellucci M 2:0 Bublik A Bellucci M

2026-06-14 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying

Bellucci M 2:1 Bolt A Bellucci M

2026-06-13 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying

Bellucci M 2:0 Kukushkin M Bellucci M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.6 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaez S - Bellucci M

Baez S

0 matches total

Bellucci M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal