Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

ATP. Monreal International

1 round 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Damm M - Tsitsipas S

Damm M take on Tsitsipas S on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Damm M 3-0-2, Tsitsipas S 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tsitsipas S — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tsitsipas S): model 45% · market 63% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Damm M39.2%

market37%

2 · Tsitsipas S ✓ Pick60.8%

market63%

Model estimate: win Damm M 39.2%, win Tsitsipas S 60.8%. Model favourite — Tsitsipas S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tsitsipas S (odds1.51) Score 1:2 confidence 61%

• Damm M: forma VPV (2-1)
• Tsitsipas S: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• Model backs Tsitsipas S: probability 61% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Damm M - Tsitsipas S August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tsitsipas S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 37.3%

2 ✓ Pick 62.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 2.55 → 2.55

Pobeditel P2 1.52 → 1.52

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC Not started

04.08.2026 00:15 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Damm M Greece

W L W W L

Tsitsipas S

W L W W W

-:-

Odds

P1 2.65 36.6% BetBoom

P2 1.53 63.4% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Greece Country -

- Rating -

22 Age -

203 Height (cm) -

95 Weight (kg) -

Levsha Hand -

Q Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Damm M

42% 8 / 19

42% 8 / 19

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 3

grass

2 iz 5

hard

5 iz 11

Tsitsipas S

52% 22 / 42

52% 22 / 42

Sintetika

no data

clay

10 iz 16

grass

1 iz 3

hard

11 iz 23

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium.

Start 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Market 1 37.3% @ 2.55 / 2 62.7% @ 1.52

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Damm M - Tsitsipas S

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Martin Damm-ml. - Stefanos Tsitsipas. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Damm M 37.4% 39.2%

Tsitsipas S 62.6% 60.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 39.2% / 60.8% probabilities

Rating 1,872 / 1,811 Damm M / Tsitsipas S

RD 242 / 183 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,389-2,356 / 1,445-2,177 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 60.8%

1 2.55 Fonbet · no value · model 39.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 23.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Over 24.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
—	—	2.35 42.6%	—
—	—	2.08 48.1%	—
1.77 56.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.79 55.9%
—	—	2.60 38.5%	—
—	—	1.55 64.5%	—
—	—	1.67 59.9%	—
—	—	2.00 50.0%	—
—	—	1.43 69.9%	—
2.03 49.3%	2.10 47.6%	—	1.99 50.3%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 23.5	—	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	—
Over 24.5	1.87 53.5%	—	1.88 53.2%	1.86 53.8%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%	—
Over 26.5	—	—	2.30 43.5%	—
Under 23.5	—	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 24.5	1.91 52.4%	—	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%
Under 25.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%	—
Under 26.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	2.53 39.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.65 37.7%
	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.47 68.0%

Match center

Damm M

W L W W L

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:0 Rocha H

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA

Damm M Damm M 1:2 Shelton B

2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:1 Shelbayh A

2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:0 Coppejans K

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Damm M Rinderknech A 3:0 Damm M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Tsitsipas S

W L W W W

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Tsitsipas S 2:0 Rice K Tsitsipas S

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

De Minaur A 2:1 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

2026-07-19 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Tsitsipas S 2:1 Collignon R Tsitsipas S

2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Shevchenko A 1:2 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Rinderknech A 1:2 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDamm M - Tsitsipas S

Damm M

0 matches total

Tsitsipas S

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal