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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 05.08.2026 00:35 UTC

Darderi L - Diallo G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Darderi L go head-to-head with Diallo G on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Darderi L 2-1-2, Diallo G 1-1-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Darderi L — 60%

1 · Darderi L ✓ Pick59.6%
market49%
2 · Diallo G40.4%
market51%

Model estimate: win Darderi L 59.6%, win Diallo G 40.4%. Model favourite — Darderi L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Darderi L (odds1.81) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Darderi L: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Diallo G
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Darderi L: probability 60% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Darderi L - Diallo G August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diallo G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 4 books · best price +10.9%
1 ✓ Pick 49.2%
2 50.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.75 → 1.75
Winner P2 2.10 → 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Darderi L

no data

Diallo G
3-7LLLWLLLWWL
scored 0.7conceded 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2 round 05.08.2026 00:35 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 00:35 UTC 2 round Not started
Darderi L
Darderi L Italy Seed 23
L L W W L
Diallo G
Diallo G Canada Seed 99
W L L L L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.75 54.6% BetBoom
P2 2.10 45.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Canada
- Rating -
24 Age 24
183 Height (cm) 203
82 Weight (kg) 90
Right Hand Right
23 Seed 99
- Coverage -
C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Darderi L
54% 33 / 61
54% 33 / 61
Synthetic
no data
Clay
23 of 34
Grass
1 of 3
Hard
9 of 24
Diallo G
39% 16 / 41
39% 16 / 41
Synthetic
no data
Clay
1 of 6
Grass
3 of 7
Hard
12 of 28

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":68,"full":100,"game":"23 of 34"},{"category":"grass","value":33,"full":100,"game":"1 of 3"},{"category":"hard","value":38,"full":100,"game":"9 of 24"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":33,"game":61,"pct":"54%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":17,"full":100,"game":"1 of 6"},{"category":"grass","value":43,"full":100,"game":"3 of 7"},{"category":"hard","value":43,"full":100,"game":"12 of 28"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":16,"game":41,"pct":"39%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 00:35 UTC
Market 1 45.8% @ 2.07 / 2 54.2% @ 1.75
Form 6 matches
Match center

Darderi L - Diallo G

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Luchano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Darderi L 54.6% 59.6% market and model agree
Diallo G 45.5% 40.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.6% / 40.4% probabilities
Rating 1,697 / 1,490 Darderi L / Diallo G. 🇨🇦
RD 136 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,424-1,969 / 1,151-1,829 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%
1 2.07 Fonbet · value +23.3% · model 59.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 13.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1% 1.60 62.5%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 2.65 37.7%
— 3.35 29.9%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 2.20 45.5%
— 2.75 36.4%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.55 64.5%
2.00 50.0% 1.42 70.4%
— 1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 13.5 2.00 50.0% —
Over 20.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 22.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 23.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 26.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 27.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 28.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Under 13.5 1.73 57.8% —
Under 20.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Under 21.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Under 22.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Under 23.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 24.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Under 25.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Under 26.5 — 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.80 55.6% 3.40 29.4% 2.07 48.3% 1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.75 57.1% 2.08 48.1%
Match center
Darderi L
D L W W L
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Darderi L Svrcina D 0:0 Darderi L
2026-07-25 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Darderi L Blockx A 2:1 Darderi L
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Darderi L Faria J 1:2 Darderi L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Darderi L Martinez P 0:2 Darderi L
2026-07-19 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Darderi L Rublev A 2:0 Darderi L
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Diallo G
W L L D L
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Diallo G 2:1 Jacquet K Diallo G
2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Diallo G 0:2 Boyer T Diallo G
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L Diallo G
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bonzi B 2:2 Diallo G Diallo G
2026-06-25 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Draper J 2:0 Diallo G Diallo G
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDarderi L - Diallo G

Darderi L
0 matches total
Diallo G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history