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ATP. Monreal International

1 round 04.08.2026 00:05 UTC Match prediction

Diallo G - Jacquet K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 00:05 UTC Finished

04.08.2026 00:05 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Diallo G Canada Seed 99

L L L L W

Jacquet K France Seed 120

W L W L W

2:1 6:7 6:3 6:2

1 2 3 GP

Diallo G 6 6 6 2

Jacquet K 7 3 2 1

1 2 3

Odds

P1 1.85 52.0% BetBoom

P2 2.00 48.1% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Canada Country France

- Rating -

24 Age 25

203 Height (cm) 175

90 Weight (kg) 71

- Hand -

C Seed Q

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Diallo G

38% 15 / 40

38% 15 / 40

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 6

grass

3 iz 7

hard

11 iz 27

Jacquet K

40% 4 / 10

40% 4 / 10

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 4

grass

1 iz 2

hard

2 iz 4

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Diallo G take on Jacquet K on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Diallo G 1-1-3, Jacquet K 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Diallo G — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Diallo G): model 41% · market 52% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Diallo G51.2%

2 · Jacquet K48.8%

Model estimate: win Diallo G 51.2%, win Jacquet K 48.8%. Model favourite — Diallo G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Diallo G (odds1.81) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Diallo G
• 🇨🇦 — Zhake K (tennis)
• Diallo G
• 🇨🇦: forma PPPVP (1-4)
• Zhake K: forma VPVPV (3-2)
• Model backs Diallo G
• 🇨🇦: probability 51% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diallo G - Jacquet K August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Diallo G.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diallo G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 11.50
Glicko: Diallo G 51.2% / Jacquet K 48.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 4 books · best price +2.5%

1 52.4%

2 47.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.85 ↓ 1.80

Winner 2 1.95 ↑ 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diallo G

3-7LLLWLLLWWL

scored 0.7conceded 1.6

Jacquet K

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 00:05 UTC

Market 1 91.8% @ 1.03 / 2 8.2% @ 11.50

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Diallo G - Jacquet K

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Gabriel Diallo - Kiriyan Zhake, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Gabriel Diallo - Kiriyan Zhake, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Diallo G Jacquet K Result

Set 0 6 7 6:7

Set 1 6 3 6:3

Set 2 6 2 6:2

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Diallo G 52.4% 51.2% market and model agree

Jacquet K 47.6% 48.8%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 51.2% / 48.8% probabilities

Rating 1,249 / 1,652 Diallo G / Jacquet K

RD 190 / 187 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 868-1,629 / 1,279-2,025 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%

1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 20.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Over 21.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.91 52.4%	—	1.27 78.7%
—	2.02 49.5%	1.92 52.1%
—	—	1.52 65.8%
—	—	1.06 94.3%
1.87 53.5%	—	2.50 40.0%
—	1.79 55.9%	2.00 50.0%
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	3.00 33.3%
—	—	3.40 29.4%
—	—	1.83 54.6%
—	—	2.35 42.6%
—	—	6.80 14.7%
—	—	9.00 11.1%
—	—	15.00 6.7%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 20.5	—	—	1.37 73.0%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 22.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.67 59.9%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 27.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 28.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 29.5	—	—	1.40 71.4%
Over 30.5	—	—	16.00 6.3%
Over 31.5	—	—	9.00 11.1%
Over 32.5	—	—	6.70 14.9%
Over 33.5	—	—	2.90 34.5%
Under 22.5	1.97 50.8%	1.98 50.5%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.03 97.1%	1.81 55.3%
	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	11.50 8.7%	1.97 50.8%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0

2026-08-03 · Gabriel Diallo 2:1 Kirian Zhake

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.58 (Pari) · 2 2.4 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.58	2.4
Winline	1.57	2.4
Fonbet	1.58	2.4
Betcity	1.57	2.4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 2

2 Dvoynye oshibki 4

5 Vsego breyk-poyntov 0

3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0

93 Vyigrannye Points 77

62 Points na podache 52

25 Poteryannye Points na podache 31

57 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 46

28 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 33

44 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 34

18 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18

9 Maks. ochkov podryad 7

9 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 1

15 Geymy na podache 11

18 Vyigrannye geymy 12

5 Maks. geymov podryad 1

0 Tay-breyk 1

Source: ruscore

Diallo G

L L D L W

2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Diallo G Diallo G 0:2 Boyer T

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Diallo G Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Diallo G Bonzi B 2:2 Diallo G

2026-06-25 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain

Diallo G Draper J 2:0 Diallo G

2026-06-24 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain

Diallo G Diallo G 2:1 Etcheverry T M

1 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Jacquet K

W L W L W

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Shevchenko A 1:2 Jacquet K Jacquet K

2026-07-22 2026 Estoril, Portugal

Jacquet K 1:2 Blockx A Jacquet K

2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal

Merida Aguilar D 1:2 Jacquet K Jacquet K

2026-07-19 2026 Estoril, Portugal, Qualifying

Jacquet K 1:2 Daniel T Jacquet K

2026-07-18 2026 Estoril, Portugal, Qualifying

Jacquet K 2:0 Da Rosa Castro G Jacquet K

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.6 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDiallo G - Jacquet K

Diallo G

0 matches total

Jacquet K

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal