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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
01.08.2026 17:45 UTC

Gaston H - Chan Duncan

Gaston H go head-to-head with Chan Duncan on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gaston H 2-1-2, Chan Duncan 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gaston H — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gaston H): model 61% · market 66% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gaston H ✓ Pick71.7%
market66%
2 · Chan Duncan28.3%
market34%

Model estimate: win Gaston H 71.7%, win Chan Duncan 28.3%. Model favourite — Gaston H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gaston H (odds1.34) Score 2:1 confidence 69%
  • • Gaston U: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Chan Dunkan: forma PPVV (2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.35 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Gaston U: probability 69% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.34)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gaston H - Chan Duncan August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gaston H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.40 ↓ 1.30
Pobeditel P2 2.95 ↑ 3.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Chan Duncan · sets 1:0 · games 6-2 5-6 · game 00:15 · aces 1:3 · DF 5:4

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

66% 34%
Gaston H (1) Chan Duncan (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal hard 01.08.2026 17:45 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 17:45 UTC Not started
Gaston H
Gaston H
L W W L L
Chan Duncan
Chan Duncan
L L W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.30 72.9% BetBoom
P2 3.50 27.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 17:45 UTC
Market 1 65.9% @ 1.40 / 2 34.1% @ 2.70
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Gaston H - Chan Duncan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gaston H 72.9% 71.7% market and model agree
Chan Duncan 27.1% 28.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.7% / 28.3% probabilities
Rating 1,719 / 1,468 Gaston H / Chan Duncan
RD 156 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,407-2,031 / 1,062-1,873 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 28.3%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 71.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% —
2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% —
— — 3.55 28.2%
— — 3.95 25.3%
2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% —
1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% —
— — 3.20 31.3%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 1.47 68.0%
Over 17.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 18.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 19.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 20.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2% 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 24.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 25.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 26.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 27.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 28.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 29.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.27 78.7%
3.33 30.0% 3.50 28.6% 2.70 37.0% 3.45 29.0%
Match center
Gaston H
L W W D L
2026-07-25 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaston H Van Assche L 2:0 Gaston H
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaston H Torres T 0:2 Gaston H
2026-07-22 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaston H Gaston H 2:0 Droguet T
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaston H Gaston H 0:0 Dzumhur D
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Gaston H Altmaier D 2:0 Gaston H
2 Wins
2 Losses
0.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Chan Duncan
L L W W W
2026-07-28 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Sweeny D 2:0 Chan Duncan Chan Duncan
2026-07-23 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S 2:1 Chan Duncan Chan Duncan
2026-07-21 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
McCabe J 1:2 Chan Duncan Chan Duncan
2026-07-20 2026 Winnipeg, Canada, Qualifying
Chan Duncan 2:1 Bouchelaghem C Chan Duncan
2026-07-19 2026 Winnipeg, Canada, Qualifying
Ayeni A 0:2 Chan Duncan Chan Duncan
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGaston H - Chan Duncan

Gaston H
0 matches total
Chan Duncan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history