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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 04.08.2026 15:05 UTC Match prediction

Hurkacz H - Giron M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 15:05 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 15:05 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Hurkacz H
Hurkacz H Poland Seed 72
L W W W L
Giron M
Giron M USA Seed 81
W L W W L
2:1
Odds
P1 1.56 61.9% BetBoom
P2 2.53 38.1% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Poland Country USA
- Rating -
29 Age 33
196 Height (cm) 180
81 Weight (kg) 77
- Hand -
R Seed Q
hard Coverage hard
4 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Hurkacz H
48% 13 / 27
48% 13 / 27
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 8
grass
4 iz 7
hard
5 iz 12
Giron M
40% 17 / 43
40% 17 / 43
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 4
grass
3 iz 7
hard
14 iz 32

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Hurkacz H 0
  Giron M 0
2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Hurkacz H 0
  Giron M 0
2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Hurkacz H 0
  Giron M 0

Hurkacz H take on Giron M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hurkacz H 3-1-1, Giron M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hurkacz H — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hurkacz H): model 52% · market 62% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hurkacz H ✓ Pick60.5%
market62%
2 · Giron M39.5%
market39%

Model estimate: win Hurkacz H 60.5%, win Giron M 39.5%. Model favourite — Hurkacz H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hurkacz H (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Gurkach Kh
  • • 🇵🇱 — Khiron M
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Gurkach Kh
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Khiron M
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.35→1.40 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Gurkach Kh
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 67% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hurkacz H - Giron M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hurkacz H.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hurkacz H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.45
  • Glicko: Hurkacz H 60.5% / Giron M 39.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 4 books · best price +1.3%
1 ✓ Pick 61.5%
2 38.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.35 ↑ 1.55
Winner 2 3.30 ↓ 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hurkacz H
5-5LLWLLWLWWW
scored 1.9conceded 1.3
Giron M
5-5WLWLLWLLWW
scored 1.6conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 21:57 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
2 48%
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Claude updated03.08.2026 22:00 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 52% 48% 1:2 Over 22.5
Claude 58% 42% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers
Start 04.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market 1 61.3% @ 1.55 / 2 38.8% @ 2.45
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Hurkacz H 55%
📐 Math model Hurkacz H 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hurkacz H - Giron M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Khubert Khurkach - Markos Giron. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 60.5% fact: home hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.311 / LogLoss 0.502
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hurkacz H 61.5% 60.5% market and model agree
Giron M 38.5% 39.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.5% / 39.5% probabilities
Rating 1,699 / 1,711 Hurkacz H / Giron M
RD 175 / 146 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,349-2,049 / 1,418-2,003 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 39.5%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 60.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.65 60.6%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% —
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 2.75 36.4%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 3.30 30.3%
1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2% —
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1%
Over 23.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.03 49.3%
Over 24.5 — 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 28.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 20.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% —
Under 23.5 1.82 55.0% — —
Under 24.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.52 65.8% 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
2.53 39.5% 2.42 41.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2025-05-12 · Khubert Gurkach 2:1 Markos Khiron
2024-09-25 · Khubert Gurkach 2:1 Markos Khiron
2024-06-21 · Khubert Gurkach 2:0 Markos Khiron
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.5 (Pari) · 2 2.75 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.5 2.6
Winline 1.49 2.6
Fonbet 1.5 2.6
Betcity 1.45 2.75
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hurkacz H
D W W W L
2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Hurkacz H Hurkacz H 2:2 Struff J-L
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Hurkacz H Hurkacz H 3:1 Paul T
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Hurkacz H Hurkacz H 3:0 Ofner S
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Hurkacz H Ruud C 0:3 Hurkacz H
2026-06-17 2026 Halle, Germany
Hurkacz H Hurkacz H 1:2 Altmaier D
3 Wins
1 Losses
2.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Giron M
W L W W L
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Giron M 2:1 Llamas Ruiz P Giron M
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Giron M 0:2 Hewitt Cruz Giron M
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Giron M 2:0 Ilagan A Giron M
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Giron M 2:0 Shah A Giron M
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Giron M 0:3 Zverev A Giron M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHurkacz H - Giron M

Hurkacz H
0 matches total
Giron M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Rim (m) clay 3-y krug M. Markos Giron Markos Giron 🇺🇸 1 3 6 1 30 Kh. Khubert Khurkach Khubert Khurkach (Poland) 2 6 1 6
Event
2024 Tokio (m) hard 1-y krug LD M. Markos Giron Markos Giron 🇺🇸 1 4 7 4 2 Kh. Khubert Khurkach Khubert Khurkach (Poland) 2 6
Event
2024 Galle Tr