ATP. Monreal2 round05.08.2026 21:45 UTCNot started
05.08.2026 21:45 UTC2 roundNot started
Marozsan FHungary
Seed 61
WLWLW
Arnaldi MItaly
Seed 35
LLWLL
-:-
Odds
P11.65
57.7% BetBoom
P22.25
42.3% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
HungaryCountryItaly
-Rating-
26Age25
193Height (cm)185
75Weight (kg)71
RightHandRight
61Seed35
-Coverage-
Seed 30 0H2H1
Form over the last year
Marozsan F
48%22 / 46
48% 22 / 46
Synthetic
no data
Clay
5 of 11
Grass
4 of 9
Hard
13 of 26
Arnaldi M
36%10 / 28
36% 10 / 28
Synthetic
no data
Clay
8 of 13
Grass
0 of 2
Hard
2 of 13
Head-to-head history
2025
GenevaClay
2 round 8
Marozsan F0
Arnaldi M0
Marozsan F face Arnaldi M on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marozsan F 3-0-2, Arnaldi M 1-0-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Marozsan F — 54%
54%1
1 · Marozsan F54.0%
2 · Arnaldi M46.0%
Model estimate: win Marozsan F 54.0%, win Arnaldi M 46.0%. Model favourite — Marozsan F.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Marozsan F (odds1.65)Score 2:1confidence 54%
•Marozhan F: forma V (1-0)
•Arnaldi M: forma PV (1)
•Model backs Marozhan F: probability 54% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marozsan F - Arnaldi M August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Marozsan F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.30
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 6.0%
159.0%
241.0%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.65→ 1.65
Winner P22.25→ 2.25
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Marozsan F57.7%54.0%market and model agree
Arnaldi M42.3%46.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P254.0% / 46.0%
probabilities
Rating1,741 / 1,695
Marozhan F / Arnaldi M
RD264 / 242
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,213-2,269 / 1,211-2,179
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.30
Fonbet · weak value +5.9% · model 46.0%
11.60
Fonbet · no value · model 54.0%
Handicap
2 -0.52.15
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.52.35
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.62
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.53
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.51.35
Fonbet · line only
Over 20.51.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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