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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
2 round 05.08.2026 19:30 UTC

Marozsan F - Arnaldi M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Marozsan F face Arnaldi M on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Marozsan F — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Marozsan F): model 51% · market 56% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Marozsan F58.2%
market56%
2 · Arnaldi M41.8%
market45%

Model estimate: win Marozsan F 58.2%, win Arnaldi M 41.8%. Model favourite — Marozsan F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Marozsan F (odds1.64) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺 — Arnaldi M
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • Arnaldi M
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺: probability 58% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marozsan F - Arnaldi M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Marozsan F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / 2 2.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 55.5%
2 44.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Marozsan F
4-6WLWLWLWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4
Arnaldi M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 05.08.2026 19:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 19:30 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Marozsan F
Marozsan F Hungary Seed 61
W
Arnaldi M
Arnaldi M Italy Seed 35
-:-
Odds
P1 1.61 59.3% BetBoom
P2 2.35 40.7% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Hungary Country Italy
- Rating -
26 Age 25
193 Height (cm) 185
75 Weight (kg) 71
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
61 Seed 35
hard Coverage hard
Posev 30 0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Marozsan F
48% 22 / 46
48% 22 / 46
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
4 iz 9
hard
13 iz 26
Arnaldi M
36% 10 / 28
36% 10 / 28
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 13
grass
0 iz 2
hard
2 iz 13

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Marozsan F 0
  Arnaldi M 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 05.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.73 / 2 44.7% @ 2.14
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Marozsan F - Arnaldi M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Fabian Marozhan - Matteo Arnaldi. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marozsan F 59.1% 58.2% market and model agree
Arnaldi M 41.0% 41.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.2% / 41.8% probabilities
Rating 1,468 / 1,514 Marozsan F / Arnaldi M
RD 199 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,069-1,866 / 1,190-1,838 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 41.8%
1 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 58.2%
Total
Over 22.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.97 50.8% — 1.96 51.0%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
1.82 55.0% — 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8%
2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.12 47.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2025-05-21 · Fabian Marozhan 0:2 Matteo Arnaldi
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.66 (Betcity) · 2 2.26 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.63 2.25
Winline 1.64 2.26
Fonbet 1.63 2.25
Betcity 1.66 2.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Marozsan F
W
04.08 20:25 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Marozsan F 2:0 Mochizuki Sh. 🇯🇵Mochizuki Sh. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Arnaldi M
D D
05.08.2026 Championat
19 L. Luchano Darderi (Italy) 2 6 2 WC G. Gabriel Diallo (Canada) 0 4 3 Rt 2-y krug Arnaldi M
05.08.2026 Championat
D. Dzheyms Dakvort (Australia) 0 2 6 3 — A. Aleks de Minor Arnaldi M
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarozsan F - Arnaldi M

Marozsan F
0 matches total
Arnaldi M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Zheneva clay 2-y krug 8 M. Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Arnaldi (Italy) 2 6 7 F. Fabian Marozhan Fabian Marozhan (Hungary) 0 3 6 ; ; CHA