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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC

Mejia N - Musetti L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Mejia N face Musetti L on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mejia N 4-0-1, Musetti L 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Musetti L — 82%

1 · Mejia N18.5%
market15%
2 · Musetti L ✓ Pick81.5%
market85%

Model estimate: win Mejia N 18.5%, win Musetti L 81.5%. Model favourite — Musetti L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mejia N - Musetti L August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Musetti L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books
1 15.1%
2 ✓ Pick 84.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 6.40 → 6.40
Winner P2 1.12 → 1.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2 round 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 15:05 UTC 2 round Not started
Mejia N
Mejia N Colombia Seed 131
W W L W W
Musetti L
Musetti L Italy Seed 15
L W W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 6.40 14.9% BetBoom
P2 1.12 85.1% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Colombia Country Italy
- Rating -
26 Age 24
183 Height (cm) 185
79 Weight (kg) 78
Right Hand Right
Q Seed 11
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Mejia N
67% 2 / 3
67% 2 / 3
Synthetic
no data
Clay
no data
Grass
1 of 2
Hard
1 of 1
Musetti L
64% 34 / 53
64% 34 / 53
Synthetic
no data
Clay
6 of 10
Grass
no data
Hard
28 of 43

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 of 2"},{"category":"hard","value":100,"full":100,"game":"1 of 1"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":2,"game":3,"pct":"67%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":60,"full":100,"game":"6 of 10"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"hard","value":65,"full":100,"game":"28 of 43"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":34,"game":53,"pct":"64%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market 1 13.6% @ 7.00 / 2 86.4% @ 1.10
Form 5 matches
Match center

Mejia N - Musetti L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Nikolas Mekhiya - Lorentso Muzetti. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mejia N 15.0% 18.5%
Musetti L 85.0% 81.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 18.5% / 81.5% probabilities
Rating 1,715 / 1,785 Mejia N / Musetti L
RD 193 / 252 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,330-2,101 / 1,280-2,289 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 81.5%
1 7.00 Fonbet · no value · model 18.5%
Total
Over 20.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 20.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
— 2.19 45.7%
1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%
2.15 46.5% —
— 1.66 60.2%
— 2.14 46.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
6.30 15.9% 7.00 14.3% 6.20 16.1%
1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Mejia N
W W L W W
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Mejia N Mejia N 2:1 Landaluce M
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Mejia N Trungelliti M 1:2 Mejia N
2026-07-26 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying
Mejia N Mejia N 0:2 Hernandez Alex
2026-07-12 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Mejia N Mejia N 2:0 Soto M
2026-07-11 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Mejia N Mejia N 2:1 Varillas J P
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Musetti L
L W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Jodar R 2:1 Musetti L Musetti L
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Vukic A 1:2 Musetti L Musetti L
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Arnaldi M 0:1 Musetti L Musetti L
2026-05-12 2026 Rome, Italy
Musetti L 0:2 Ruud C Musetti L
2026-05-10 2026 Rome, Italy
Musetti L 2:0 Cerundolo F Musetti L
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMejia N - Musetti L

Mejia N
0 matches total
Musetti L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history