Michelsen A meet Cerundolo F on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Michelsen A 4-0-1, Cerundolo F 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Michelsen A — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Michelsen A): model 62% · market 63%Δ −1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
56%1
1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick56.5%
2 · Cerundolo F43.5%
Model estimate: win Michelsen A 56.5%, win Cerundolo F 43.5%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Michelsen A (odds1.65)Score 2:1confidence 56%
•Mikelsen A: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•Serundolo F: forma PPPVP (1-4)
•Model backs Mikelsen A: probability 56% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
•no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Michelsen A - Cerundolo F August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.55
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.9%
3 books · best price +1.3%
1 ✓ Pick62.8%
237.2%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.70→ 1.70
Winner P22.15→ 2.15
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal05.08.2026 15:05 UTCNot started
05.08.2026 15:05 UTCNot started
Michelsen A
WLWWW
Cerundolo F
LLLWW
-:-
Odds
P11.70
55.8% BetBoom
P22.15
44.2% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Match center
Start05.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market1 63.0% @ 1.50 / 2 37.0% @ 2.55
Form6 matches
Match center
Michelsen A - Cerundolo F
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Michelsen A55.8%56.5%market and model agree
Cerundolo F44.2%43.5%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P256.5% / 43.5%
probabilities
Rating1,764 / 1,435
Michelsen A / Cerundolo F
RD148 / 193
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,468-2,060 / 1,050-1,821
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.55
Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
11.50
Fonbet · no value · model 56.5%
Total
Over 22.51.97
Fonbet · line only
Over 23.52.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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