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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
05.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Ruud C take on Cerundolo J M on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ruud C 2-0-3, Cerundolo J M 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ruud C — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ruud C): model 54% · market 71% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ruud C ✓ Pick69.6%
market71%
2 · Cerundolo J M30.4%
market29%

Model estimate: win Ruud C 69.6%, win Cerundolo J M 30.4%. Model favourite — Ruud C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ruud C (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 70%
  • • Ruud K: forma PV (1)
  • • Serundolo Kh-M: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Ruud K: probability 70% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruud C - Cerundolo J M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ruud C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 70.7%
2 29.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.33 → 1.33
Winner P2 3.30 → 3.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal hard 05.08.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
Ruud C
Ruud C
L W L L W
Cerundolo J M
Cerundolo J M
W L L W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.35 72.2% BetBoom
P2 3.50 27.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ATP. Gshtad
  Ruud K 0 1
  Serundolo Kh-M 1 2
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 70.7% @ 1.35 / 2 29.3% @ 3.25
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ruud C 71.3% 69.6% market and model agree
Cerundolo J M 28.7% 30.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 69.6% / 30.4% probabilities
Rating 1,476 / 1,419 Ruud C / Cerundolo J M
RD 257 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 962-1,990 / 1,014-1,825 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 Fonbet · no value · model 30.4%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 69.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.50 66.7%
1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.13 47.0%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 3.30 30.3%
— — 3.65 27.4%
2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% —
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.03 49.3%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.37 73.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 — — 2.08 48.1%
Over 23.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 25.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 26.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Under 19.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Under 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Under 23.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Under 24.5 — — 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-07-17 · Kasper Ruud 1:2 Khuan Manuel Cherundolo
2025-07-18 · Kasper Ruud 1:2 Khuan Manuel Cherundolo
Source: ruscore

Odds · 1 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.33 (Winline) · 2 3.3 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Winline 1.33 3.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ruud C
L W L L W
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Faria J 1:2 Ruud C
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ruud C Ruud C 0:3 Hurkacz H
2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C Ruud C 1:3 Fonseca J
2026-05-29 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C Ruud C 3:2 Paul T
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
2.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Cerundolo J M
W L L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Cerundolo J M 2:0 Medjedovic H Cerundolo J M
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Cerundolo J M 0:2 Trungelliti M Cerundolo J M
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R 2:1 Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C Cerundolo J M
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Kecmanovic M Cerundolo J M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRuud C - Cerundolo J M

Ruud C
1 matches total
Cerundolo J M
Ruud C: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cerundolo J M: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cerundolo J M 2:1 (2026-07-17) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-07-17) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C