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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Shang Juncheng - Rublev A

Shang Juncheng face Rublev A on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shang Juncheng 1-0-4, Rublev A 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rublev A — 81%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rublev A): model 53% · market 84% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shang Juncheng19.0%
market16%
2 · Rublev A ✓ Pick81.0%
market84%

Model estimate: win Shang Juncheng 19.0%, win Rublev A 81.0%. Model favourite — Rublev A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shang Juncheng - Rublev A August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rublev A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 15.6%
2 ✓ Pick 84.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 6.10 → 6.10
Pobeditel P2 1.13 → 1.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2-y krug hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng China
W
Rublev A
Rublev A Russia
L W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 6.10 15.6% BetBoom
P2 1.13 84.4% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

China Country Russia
- Rating -
21 Age 28
180 Height (cm) 188
73 Weight (kg) 75
- Hand -
R Seed 10
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Shang Juncheng
37% 7 / 19
37% 7 / 19
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
7 iz 19
Rublev A
63% 37 / 59
63% 37 / 59
Sintetika
no data
clay
16 iz 22
grass
0 iz 2
hard
21 iz 35

Head-to-head history

2024
ATP. Monreal
  Shang Juncheng 0
  Rublev A 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 15.6% @ 6.10 / 2 84.4% @ 1.13
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Shang Juncheng - Rublev A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Tszyunchen Shan - Andrey Rublev. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shang Juncheng 15.9% 19.0%
Rublev A 84.2% 81.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 19.0% / 81.0% probabilities
Rating 1,763 / 1,903 Shan Tszyunchen / Rublev A
RD 271 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,222-2,304 / 1,557-2,248 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 81.0%
1 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 19.0%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4%
1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Shang Juncheng
W L L L L
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shang Juncheng Vallejo A D 0:2 Shang Juncheng
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Shang Juncheng Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng
2026-02-24 2026 Dubai, UAE
Shang Juncheng Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng
2026-02-16 2026 Doha, Qatar
Shang Juncheng Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng
2026-01-22 2026 Australian Open, Melbourne, Australia
Shang Juncheng Van de Zandschulp B 3:0 Shang Juncheng
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Rublev A
L W W W W
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Rublev A 1:2 Van Assche L Rublev A
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Rublev A 2:0 Skatov T Rublev A
2026-07-19 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:0 Darderi L Rublev A
2026-07-18 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:1 Tabilo A Rublev A
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:0 Baez S Rublev A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShang Juncheng - Rublev A

Shang Juncheng
0 matches total
Rublev A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Hong Kong hard 1/2 finala 1 A. Andrey Rublev Andrey Rublev (Russia) 2 4 6 WC Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 1 6 2 3 ; ; ; CHAMP