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ATP. Montreal. Hard International

1 round 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Sonego L face Griekspoor T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Montreal. Hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sonego L 3-0-2, Griekspoor T 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Griekspoor T — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Griekspoor T): model 38% · market 63% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sonego L48.8%

2 · Griekspoor T51.2%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 48.8%, win Griekspoor T 51.2%. Model favourite — Griekspoor T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.93) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Sonego L: forma PV (1)
• Grikspor T: forma PPV (1-2)
• liniya na pik P1 2.02→1.90 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Sonego L: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
• no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Griekspoor T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / 2 1.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 2 books · best price +20.4%

1 36.5%

2 63.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.02 ↑ 2.10

Winner P2 1.80 ↓ 1.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Sonego L · sets 0:1 · games 6-7 2-2 · game 00:00 · aces 8:4 · DF 2:1

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

24% 76%

Sonego L (1) Griekspoor T (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis ATP. Montreal. Hard

ATP. Montreal. Hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC Not started

04.08.2026 19:55 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Sonego L Italy Seed 88

L W L W W

Griekspoor T Netherlands Seed 69

L L L L W

-:-

Odds

P1 2.10 47.0% BetBoom

P2 1.86 53.0% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands

- Rating -

31 Age 30

191 Height (cm) 188

76 Weight (kg) 85

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

88 Seed 69

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L

46% 18 / 39

46% 18 / 39

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 9

grass

3 iz 6

hard

12 iz 24

Griekspoor T

32% 13 / 41

32% 13 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 7

grass

1 iz 4

hard

11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024

ATP. Montreal. Hard

Sonego L 0

Griekspoor T 0

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC

Market 1 23.7% @ 3.95 / 2 76.3% @ 1.23

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sonego L 47.4% 48.8%

Griekspoor T 52.6% 51.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 48.8% / 51.2% probabilities

Rating 1,525 / 1,223 Sonego L / Griekspoor T

RD 256 / 221 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,013-2,037 / 782-1,665 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%

1 3.95 Fonbet · weak value +92.8% · model 48.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Over 21.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	3.20 31.3%	1.84 54.4%
	2.50 40.0%	—
	1.60 62.5%	—
	1.45 69.0%	—
	1.95 51.3%	—
	2.30 43.5%	—
	2.65 37.7%	—
	3.35 29.9%	—
	1.30 76.9%	—
	1.45 69.0%	—
	2.30 43.5%	—
	2.55 39.2%	—
	1.75 57.1%	1.94 51.6%
	1.55 64.5%	—
	1.42 70.4%	—
	1.28 78.1%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 20.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 22.5	1.73 57.8%
Over 23.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 24.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 25.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 26.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 27.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 28.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 29.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 30.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5	2.90 34.5%
Under 21.5	2.45 40.8%
Under 22.5	2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 24.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 25.5	2.13 47.0%
Under 26.5	1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	3.95 25.3%	1.91 52.4%
	1.23 81.3%	1.86 53.8%

Match center

Sonego L

L W L W W

2026-07-15 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Collignon R 2:0 Sonego L

2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Sonego L 2:0 Schwaerzler J

2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Fritz T 3:1 Sonego L

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Sonego L 3:1 Etcheverry T M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.8 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Griekspoor T

L L L L W

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Tabilo A 2:1 Griekspoor T Griekspoor T

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Griekspoor T 1:3 Duckworth J Griekspoor T

2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany

Griekspoor T 1:2 Shimabukuro S Griekspoor T

2026-06-11 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 0:2 Zhang Zhizhen Griekspoor T

2026-06-09 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 2:1 Van de Zandschulp B Griekspoor T

1 Wins

4 Losses

1.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L

0 matches total

Griekspoor T

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'