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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC

Tiafoe F - Cilic M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tiafoe F face Cilic M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tiafoe F 3-0-2, Cilic M 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tiafoe F — 56%

1 · Tiafoe F ✓ Pick56.2%
2 · Cilic M43.8%

Model estimate: win Tiafoe F 56.2%, win Cilic M 43.8%. Model favourite — Tiafoe F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tiafoe F (odds1.60) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • • Tiafo F: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Tiafo F: probability 56% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tiafoe F - Cilic M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tiafoe F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books · best price +3.9%
1 ✓ Pick 61.3%
2 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.60 → 1.60
Winner P2 2.35 → 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tiafoe F
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 2.0conceded 0.6
Cilic M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2 round 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 23:05 UTC 2 round Not started
Tiafoe F
Tiafoe F USA Seed 19
L L W W W
Cilic M
Cilic M Croatia Seed 86
W L L L W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.60 59.5% BetBoom
P2 2.35 40.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Croatia
- Rating -
28 Age 37
188 Height (cm) 198
86 Weight (kg) 89
Right Hand Right
15 Seed 0
- Coverage -
2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Tiafoe F
66% 35 / 53
66% 35 / 53
Synthetic
no data
Clay
7 of 11
Grass
9 of 11
Hard
19 of 31
Cilic M
46% 17 / 37
46% 17 / 37
Synthetic
no data
Clay
3 of 8
Grass
2 of 5
Hard
12 of 24

Head-to-head history

2018
Cup Devisa. Mirovaya Group Hard
semi-final
  Tiafoe F 0
  Cilic M 0
2017
Cup Leyvera Hard
Final
  Tiafoe F 0
  Cilic M 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Market 1 61.3% @ 1.55 / 2 38.8% @ 2.45
Form 3 matches
Match center

Tiafoe F - Cilic M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Frensis Tiafo - Marin Chilich. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tiafoe F 59.5% 56.2% market and model agree
Cilic M 40.5% 43.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.2% / 43.8% probabilities
Rating 1,636 / 1,500 Tiafo F / Chilich M
RD 136 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,365-1,907 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.47 68.0%
— 1.57 63.7%
1.79 55.9% 1.67 59.9%
1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 3.70 27.0%
— 2.50 40.0%
2.00 50.0% 2.80 35.7%
1.82 55.0% 3.20 31.3%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.52 65.8%
— 1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 20.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 22.5 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 26.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 27.5 — 2.60 38.5%
Over 28.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Under 20.5 — 2.90 34.5%
Under 21.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Under 22.5 1.96 51.0% 2.02 49.5%
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 24.5 — 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1%
2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.28 43.9%
Match center
Tiafoe F
L L W W W
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Tiafoe F Tiafoe F 1:2 Atmane T
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Tiafoe F Tiafoe F 2:3 Bublik A
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Tiafoe F Tiafoe F 3:1 Choinski J
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Tiafoe F Tiafoe F 3:1 Atmane T
2026-06-21 2026 Halle, Germany
Tiafoe F Fritz T 0:2 Tiafoe F
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Cilic M
W L L L W
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shimabukuro S 0:2 Cilic M Cilic M
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Cilic M 0:3 Medvedev D Cilic M
2026-06-16 2026 London, Great Britain
Humbert U 2:0 Cilic M Cilic M
2026-06-12 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Medvedev D 2:1 Cilic M Cilic M
2026-06-11 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Borges N 1:2 Cilic M Cilic M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTiafoe F - Cilic M

Tiafoe F
0 matches total
Cilic M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history