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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Tsitsipas S - Fonseca J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tsitsipas S take on Fonseca J on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tsitsipas S 4-0-1, Fonseca J 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tsitsipas S — 61%

1 · Tsitsipas S ✓ Pick61.3%
market45%
2 · Fonseca J38.7%
market55%

Model estimate: win Tsitsipas S 61.3%, win Fonseca J 38.7%. Model favourite — Tsitsipas S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tsitsipas S (odds2.15) Score 2:1 confidence 61%
  • • Tsitsipas S: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Fonseka Zh: forma PVVP (2)
  • • Model backs Tsitsipas S: probability 61% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.15)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tsitsipas S - Fonseca J August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fonseca J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.73

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 ✓ Pick 45.2%
2 54.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.18 → 2.18
Winner P2 1.70 → 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2 round 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 14:00 UTC 2 round Not started
Tsitsipas S
Tsitsipas S Greece Seed 53
W W L W W
Fonseca J
Fonseca J Brazil Seed 27
L W W L L
-:-
Odds
P1 2.18 43.8% BetBoom
P2 1.70 56.2% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Greece Country Brazil
- Rating -
27 Age 19
193 Height (cm) 188
90 Weight (kg) 81
Right Hand Right
Q Seed 22
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Tsitsipas S
53% 23 / 43
53% 23 / 43
Synthetic
no data
Clay
10 of 16
Grass
1 of 3
Hard
12 of 24
Fonseca J
63% 27 / 43
63% 27 / 43
Synthetic
no data
Clay
11 of 18
Grass
2 of 4
Hard
14 of 21

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":63,"full":100,"game":"10 of 16"},{"category":"grass","value":33,"full":100,"game":"1 of 3"},{"category":"hard","value":50,"full":100,"game":"12 of 24"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":23,"game":43,"pct":"53%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":61,"full":100,"game":"11 of 18"},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"2 of 4"},{"category":"hard","value":67,"full":100,"game":"14 of 21"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":27,"game":43,"pct":"63%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 45.2% @ 2.10 / 2 54.8% @ 1.73
Form 6 matches
Match center

Tsitsipas S - Fonseca J

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Stefanos Tsitsipas - Zhoao Fonseka. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tsitsipas S 43.8% 61.3% Glicko contrarian
Fonseca J 56.2% 38.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.3% / 38.7% probabilities
Rating 1,791 / 1,504 Tsitsipas S / Fonseca J
RD 155 / 212 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,481-2,101 / 1,080-1,928 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 Fonbet · no value · model 38.7%
1 2.10 Fonbet · value +28.7% · model 61.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.95 51.3% —
1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.55 64.5% —
— — 2.15 46.5% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —
— — 1.95 51.3% —
— — 2.25 44.4% —
— — 1.63 61.4% —
1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% — 1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.60 62.5%
Over 23.5 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 25.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5%
Under 23.5 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Under 24.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Under 25.5 — — 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9%
1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Tsitsipas S
W W L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Tsitsipas S Damm M 0:2 Tsitsipas S
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S 2:0 Rice K
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Tsitsipas S De Minaur A 2:1 Tsitsipas S
2026-07-19 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S 2:1 Collignon R
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Tsitsipas S Shevchenko A 1:2 Tsitsipas S
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Fonseca J
L W W L L
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Safiullin R 3:0 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
De Jong J 0:3 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bautista Agut R 0:3 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany
Fonseca J 0:2 Hanfmann Y Fonseca J
2026-06-02 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Mensik J 3:0 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTsitsipas S - Fonseca J

Tsitsipas S
0 matches total
Fonseca J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history