PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C

Ugo Carabelli C go head-to-head with Norrie C on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ugo Carabelli C 3-0-2, Norrie C 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Norrie C — 56%

1 · Ugo Carabelli C44.4%
2 · Norrie C ✓ Pick55.6%

Model estimate: win Ugo Carabelli C 44.4%, win Norrie C 55.6%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Norrie C (odds1.26) Score 1:2 confidence 56%
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Ugo Karabeli K: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 56% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-24 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.05 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 23.6%
2 ✓ Pick 76.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 5.00 → 5.00
Pobeditel P2 1.17 → 1.17

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1 round Not started
Ugo Carabelli C
Ugo Carabelli C Argentina
L L W W W
Norrie C
Norrie C Velikobritaniya
L W W W L
-:-
Odds
P1 5.00 19.0% BetBoom
P2 1.17 81.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Velikobritaniya
- Rating -
27 Age 30
185 Height (cm) 188
83 Weight (kg) 82
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Ugo Carabelli C
40% 17 / 42
40% 17 / 42
Synthetic
no data
Clay
12 of 23
Grass
0 of 1
Hard
5 of 18
Norrie C
52% 26 / 50
52% 26 / 50
Synthetic
no data
Clay
5 of 11
Grass
0 of 2
Hard
21 of 37

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":52,"full":100,"game":"12 of 23"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 1"},{"category":"hard","value":28,"full":100,"game":"5 of 18"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":17,"game":42,"pct":"40%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":45,"full":100,"game":"5 of 11"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 2"},{"category":"hard","value":57,"full":100,"game":"21 of 37"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":26,"game":50,"pct":"52%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 23.6% @ 4.05 / 2 76.4% @ 1.25
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Kamilo Ugo Karabeli - Kemeron Norri. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ugo Carabelli C 19.0% 44.4%
Norrie C 81.0% 55.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 44.4% / 55.6% probabilities
Rating 1,521 / 1,743 Ugo Carabelli C / Norrie C
RD 187 / 124 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,146-1,895 / 1,494-1,991 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 55.6%
1 4.05 Fonbet · no value · model 44.4%
Total
Over 20.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.95 51.3% —
1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% — 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — — 1.81 55.3%
Over 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8%
Under 20.5 — — — 1.97 50.8%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.05 24.7% 3.95 25.3%
1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Ugo Carabelli C
L L W W W
2026-07-20 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Ugo Carabelli C Droguet T 2:1 Ugo Carabelli C
2026-07-16 2026 Umag, Croatia
Ugo Carabelli C Burruchaga R A 2:1 Ugo Carabelli C
2026-07-15 2026 Umag, Croatia
Ugo Carabelli C Carreno Busta P 1:2 Ugo Carabelli C
2026-07-14 2026 Umag, Croatia
Ugo Carabelli C Topo M 1:2 Ugo Carabelli C
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ugo Carabelli C Ugo Carabelli C 2:1 Merida Aguilar D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Norrie C
L W W W L
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 1:2 Shapovalov D Norrie C
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Tomic B Norrie C
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Duckworth J Norrie C
2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Kovacevic A Norrie C
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Zheng Michael 3:2 Norrie C Norrie C
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUgo Carabelli C - Norrie C

Ugo Carabelli C
0 matches total
Norrie C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history