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ATP. MonrealInternational
1 round02.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng
Vallejo A D face Shang Juncheng on August 2, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Vallejo A D 3-0-2, Shang Juncheng 1-0-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Shang Juncheng — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Shang Juncheng): model 44% · market 57%Δ −13 ppmodel estimates below the market
56%2
1 · Vallejo A D44.2%
2 · Shang Juncheng55.8%
Model estimate: win Vallejo A D 44.2%, win Shang Juncheng 55.8%. Model favourite — Shang Juncheng.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Shang Juncheng (odds1.72)Score 1:2confidence 54%
•Valekho A-D: forma PVVPP (2-3)
•liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.73 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
•Model backs Shan Tszyunchen: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
•no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Shang Juncheng. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / 2 1.65
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 6.1%
142.9%
257.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P12.30↓ 2.20
Pobeditel P21.60↑ 1.65
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal1-y krughard02.08.2026 15:00 UTCNot started
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Vallejo A D42.9%44.2%
Shang Juncheng57.1%55.8%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P244.2% / 55.8%
probabilities
Rating1,621 / 1,500
Valekho A-D / Shan Tszyunchen
RD195 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,230-2,012 / 800-2,200
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.65
Fonbet · no value · model 55.8%
12.20
Fonbet · no value · model 44.2%
Handicap
2 -0.51.58
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.67
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.52.25
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.07
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.51.67
Fonbet · line only
Over 22.51.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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