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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
1 round 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng

Vallejo A D face Shang Juncheng on August 3, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Vallejo A D 3-0-2, Shang Juncheng 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shang Juncheng — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shang Juncheng): model 44% · market 63% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vallejo A D46.5%
2 · Shang Juncheng53.5%

Model estimate: win Vallejo A D 46.5%, win Shang Juncheng 53.5%. Model favourite — Shang Juncheng.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shang Juncheng. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.3%
2 62.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.30 ↓ 2.10
Pobeditel P2 1.60 ↑ 1.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Vallejo A D
Vallejo A D Paraguay
L L W W W
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng China
L L L L W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.10 45.5% BetBoom
P2 1.75 54.6% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Paraguay Country China
- Rating -
22 Age 21
185 Height (cm) 180
76 Weight (kg) 73
Pravsha Hand Levsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
R 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Vallejo A D
50% 8 / 16
50% 8 / 16
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 14
grass
0 iz 2
hard
no data
Shang Juncheng
33% 6 / 18
33% 6 / 18
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
6 iz 18

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 37.3% @ 2.55 / 2 62.7% @ 1.52
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Adolfo Daniel Valekho - Tszyunchen Shan. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vallejo A D 45.5% 46.5%
Shang Juncheng 54.6% 53.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.5% / 53.5% probabilities
Rating 1,621 / 1,500 Valekho A-D / Shan Tszyunchen
RD 196 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,230-2,012 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
1 2.55 Fonbet · weak value +18.5% · model 46.5%
Total
Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— 1.87 53.5% —
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.93 51.8% —
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.55 39.2%
1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Vallejo A D
L L W W W
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Vallejo A D Vallejo A D 0:2 Feldbausch K
2026-07-18 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D Vallejo A D 1:2 Darderi L
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D Vallejo A D 2:0 Travaglia S
2026-07-15 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D Van de Zandschulp B 1:2 Vallejo A D
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D Vallejo A D 2:0 Damas M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Shang Juncheng
L L L L W
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng Shang Juncheng
2026-02-24 2026 Dubai, UAE
Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng Shang Juncheng
2026-02-16 2026 Doha, Qatar
Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng Shang Juncheng
2026-01-22 2026 Australian Open, Melbourne, Australia
Van de Zandschulp B 3:0 Shang Juncheng Shang Juncheng
2026-01-19 2026 Australian Open, Melbourne, Australia
Shang Juncheng 3:1 Bautista Agut R Shang Juncheng
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVallejo A D - Shang Juncheng

Vallejo A D
0 matches total
Shang Juncheng
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal