PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
1 round 02.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Zheng Michael - Kecmanovic M

Zheng Michael take on Kecmanovic M on August 2, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zheng Michael 3-0-2, Kecmanovic M 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Zheng Michael — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zheng Michael): model 62% · market 56% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Zheng Michael ✓ Pick56.0%
2 · Kecmanovic M44.0%

Model estimate: win Zheng Michael 56.0%, win Kecmanovic M 44.0%. Model favourite — Zheng Michael.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zheng Michael (odds1.71) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • • Chzhen Maykl: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Ketsmanovich M: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Model backs Chzhen Maykl: probability 56% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zheng Michael - Kecmanovic M August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zheng Michael. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / 2 2.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 ✓ Pick 55.6%
2 44.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.70 → 1.70
Pobeditel P2 2.15 ↓ 2.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 02.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
02.08.2026 15:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Zheng Michael
Zheng Michael USA
W L W L W
Kecmanovic M
Kecmanovic M Serbia
L L W L L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.72 55.3% BetBoom
P2 2.13 44.7% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Serbia
- Rating -
22 Age 26
188 Height (cm) 183
75 Weight (kg) 75
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Zheng Michael
40% 4 / 10
40% 4 / 10
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 1
grass
2 iz 3
hard
2 iz 6
Kecmanovic M
39% 18 / 46
39% 18 / 46
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 10
grass
2 iz 5
hard
13 iz 31

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 02.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 55.6% @ 1.70 / 2 44.4% @ 2.13
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Zheng Michael - Kecmanovic M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Maykl Chzhen - Miomir Ketsmanovich. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zheng Michael 55.2% 56.0% market and model agree
Kecmanovic M 44.8% 44.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.0% / 44.0% probabilities
Rating 1,763 / 1,413 Zheng Michael / Kecmanovic M
RD 167 / 223 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,428-2,097 / 966-1,860 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.13 Fonbet · no value · model 44.0%
1 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 56.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.62 61.7% —
1.53 65.4% —
1.42 70.4% —
1.30 76.9% —
1.73 57.8% —
1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4%
2.07 48.3% —
2.50 40.0% —
2.15 46.5% —
2.35 42.6% 1.86 53.8%
2.65 37.7% —
3.30 30.3% —
2.00 50.0% —
1.87 53.5% —
1.67 59.9% —
1.47 68.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.43 69.9% —
Over 21.5 1.57 63.7% —
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5% —
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 25.5 2.30 43.5% —
Over 26.5 2.55 39.2% —
Over 27.5 2.80 35.7% —
Under 20.5 2.60 38.5% —
Under 21.5 2.25 44.4% —
Under 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 25.5 1.55 64.5% —
Under 26.5 1.45 69.0% —
Under 27.5 1.38 72.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
2.13 47.0% 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Zheng Michael
W L W L W
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:0 Nishikori K
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Zheng Michael Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:0 Landaluce M
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Zheng Michael Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael
2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:1 Walton A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Kecmanovic M
L L W L L
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S 2:1 Kecmanovic M Kecmanovic M
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Kecmanovic M Kecmanovic M
2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Feldbausch K 1:2 Kecmanovic M Kecmanovic M
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sinner J 3:2 Kecmanovic M Kecmanovic M
2026-06-25 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Kecmanovic M 0:2 Marozsan F Kecmanovic M
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZheng Michael - Kecmanovic M

Zheng Michael
0 matches total
Kecmanovic M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal