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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
3rd round 07.08.2026 22:35 UTC

Ruud C - Fonseca J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 3rd round hard 07.08.2026 22:35 UTC Not started
07.08.2026 22:35 UTC 3rd round Not started
Ruud C
Ruud C Norway
Rank #14 Elo 2345
65Average Form
W L W L L W W W
Fonseca J
Fonseca J Brazil
Rank #27 Elo 1700
59Average Form
L L W W W L W W
-:-
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Ruud C Fonseca J
Win % 64.6% 63.1%
Hard % 55.8% 72.5%
Clay % 73.9% 57.8%
Grass % 38.5% 43.8%
Deciding set % 62.9% 53.6%
Tie-breaks % 54.9% 59.1%
Titles (total) 14 5
Last 10 WLWLLWWWLW WLWWLLWWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Norway Country Brazil
#14 Rating #27
27 Age 19
183 Height (cm) 188
81 Weight (kg) 81
Right Hand Right
9 Seed 22
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Ruud C Fonseca J
Aces per match 4.29 4.79
Double faults per match 1.68 1.26
Breaks per match 1.91 1.58

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Ruud C
64% 36 / 56
64% 36 / 56
Sintetika
no data
clay
17 iz 23
grass
0 iz 1
hard
19 iz 32
Fonseca J
64% 28 / 44
64% 28 / 44
Sintetika
no data
clay
11 iz 18
grass
2 iz 4
hard
15 iz 22

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Casper Ruud
Rank:14 Elo: 2345
W L W L L W W W
Joao Fonseca
Rank:27 Elo: 1700
L L W W W L W W
Elo favourite:Ruud C (edge +645 Elo)

Hard

Casper RuudJoao Fonseca
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.0% 14 / 25 Matches 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches

Clay

Casper RuudJoao Fonseca
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches

Grass

Casper RuudJoao Fonseca
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 1 (100.0%)
Sets 1 (25.0%) 3 (75.0%)
Wins this year 64.9% 24 / 37 Matches 58.6% 17 / 29 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.2% 34 / 53 Matches 58.5% 24 / 41 Matches
Current rank 14 27

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca
Prize money (career) $25,367,114 USD $289,524 USD
Rating 14 27
Age 27 19
Height 1.83m 1.85m
Weight 81kg 73kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca
Match Wins 65 % 59 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 64 % 55 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 75 % 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 43 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 20 %
Won At Least 1 Set 76 % 83 %
Set 1 Win 59 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 59 % 62 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
May 31 2026 French Open ATP (Clay) Casper Ruud 1 – 3 Joao Fonseca

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.54 10.55 10.05
Over 6.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 75 % 100 % 88 %
Over 8.5 75 % 85 % 80 %
Over 9.5 50 % 60 % 55 %
Over 10.5 25 % 45 % 35 %
Over 11.5 25 % 45 % 35 %

Aces

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Aces Per Match 4.29 4.79 9.08
Most Aces in a match 57 % 26 % N/A
1+ 96 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 86 % 100 % 100 %
3+ 68 % 74 % 95 %
4+ 36 % 47 % 83 %
5+ 29 % 42 % 77 %

Breaks

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.91 1.58 3.49
Over 0.5 96 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 0 % 47 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 5 % 78 %
Over 3.5 0 % 0 % 33 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 33 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 3 %

Tie-breaks

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.39 0.5 0.45
Over 0.5 29 % 45 % 37 %
Over 1.5 7 % 5 % 6 %
Under 0.5 71 % 55 % 37 %
Under 1.5 93 % 95 % 6 %

Double faults

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.68 1.26 2.94
Over 0.5 (1+) 79 % 63 % 94 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 54 % 42 % 87 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 25 % 21 % 68 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 7 % 0 % 56 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 4 % 0 % 33 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 0 % 26 %

Net points

Casper Ruud Joao Fonseca Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.7 7.44 15.14
Over 4.5 (5+) 80 % 59 % 70 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 68 % 53 % 61 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 52 % 29 % 41 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 32 % 24 % 28 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 32 % 18 % 25 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 24 % 18 % 21 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.15 46.0% BetBoom
P2 1.83 54.0% BetBoom

Ruud C meet Fonseca J on August 7, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ruud C 2-0-3, Fonseca J 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Fonseca J — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Fonseca J): model 50% · market 56% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ruud C47.7%
2 · Fonseca J52.3%

Model estimate: win Ruud C 47.7%, win Fonseca J 52.3%. Model favourite — Fonseca J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Fonseca J (odds1.77) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • • Ruud K: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Fonseka Zh: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 2.05→1.65 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Fonseka Zh: probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruud C - Fonseca J August 7, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fonseca J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 6 books · best price +3.6%
1 44.0%
2 56.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.78 ↑ 2.15
Winner P2 2.05 ↓ 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ruud C
44%
2.20
Fonseca J
56%
1.75
Handicap
Ruud C (0.5)
48%
1.95
Fonseca J (0.5)
52%
1.83
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.90
Under 22.5
49%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
1.0Average score3.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 4.0 (goals)

Team form

Ruud C
6-4WLWWWLLWLW
scored 1.7conceded 1.5
Fonseca J
7-3WWWWLLWWLW
scored 2.0conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 07.08.2026 22:35 UTC
Market 1 45.5% @ 2.10 / 2 54.5% @ 1.75
Stage 3-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Fonseca J 52%
💹 Market Fonseca J 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Ruud C - Fonseca J

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Kasper Ruud - Zhoao Fonseka. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ruud C 47.4% 52.0% market and model agree
Fonseca J 52.6% 48.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko47.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.7% / 52.3% probabilities
Rating 1,593 / 1,646 Ruud C / Fonseca J
RD 219 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,155-2,031 / 1,255-2,036 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 52.3%
1 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 47.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Over 1.5 9.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% — —
1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —
1.97 50.8% — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.82 55.0% — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.50 40.0%
1.87 53.5% — 1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.30 76.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.43 69.9%
3.40 29.4%
1.30 76.9%
2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
Over 24.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 27.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Under 21.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 23.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-05-31 · Kasper Ruud 1:3 Zhoao Fonseka
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.16 (Winline) · 2 1.82 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.02 1.8
Winline 2.16 1.69
Fonbet 2.02 1.8
Betcity 2 1.82
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ruud C
W L W L L
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Ruud C Ruud C 2:0 Cerundolo J M
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Faria J 1:2 Ruud C
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ruud C Ruud C 0:3 Hurkacz H
2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C Ruud C 1:3 Fonseca J
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Fonseca J
W L W W L
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Tsitsipas S 0:2 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Safiullin R 3:0 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
De Jong J 0:3 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bautista Agut R 0:3 Fonseca J Fonseca J
2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany
Fonseca J 0:2 Hanfmann Y Fonseca J
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRuud C - Fonseca J

Ruud C
1 matches total
Fonseca J
Ruud C: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fonseca J: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Fonseca J 1:3 (2026-05-31) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 2026-05-31) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C 1:3 Fonseca J